Thursday, September 24, 2026

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

SA C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

[scuttleslops] AAPL, SHOP, Databricks, Lonza

Apple has ceded frontier AI to partners like Google while planning AI-native glasses, camera-equipped AirPods and a smart-home hub over the…

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)

Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…

TPB $1.1B

SA Caffital Research Sep 23 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

Intel: The Party Is Only Getting Started

Intel reported Q2 2026 revenue of $16.13 billion, up 25.4%, as AI PCs and data-center CPUs lifted margins and narrowed foundry losses.

INTC $631B

SA Danil Sereda Sep 23 2 clicks

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

TDC · short

Teradata CORP

Teradata is a short as its on-premises analytics business declines while enterprises shift workloads to cloud-native platforms.

The Green Dot Breakup: Grocery Money, Not Coffee Money

Green Dot’s breakup offers $8.11 cash plus 0.2215 BankCo shares, while GDOT’s $11.50 price implies a 0.55x tangible-book valuation for the…

Updates: TerraVest, Seaport Entertainment, XPEL (TVK.TO, SEG, XPEL)

Seaport Entertainment sold 250 Water St for $142 million and leased the loss-making Tin Building, while TerraVest’s Q1 cash EBIT margin…

Single Stock Spotlight #3: Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has retired more than 30% of its shares since 2022; higher structural metallurgical-coal costs could support…

Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner

Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…

Portfolio Update February 2026

Constellation Software and Roper Technologies became 13% and 16% holdings after an AI-driven software selloff, while Ashtead and Kraft…

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

Sleep Well Portfolio (Feb 2026) - Software AI risk Assessed

Sleep Well Portfolio cuts SPS Commerce after assessing AI risk across 12 software holdings, finding deterministic, rule-based data…

Alta Fox XPEL Presentation

XPEL targets 26% EBIT margins by FY28 after its 2022-2025 investment cycle, with Alta Fox projecting roughly doubled EPS from FY25.

APi Group: How the story has evolved and what's next

APi Group hit its 13/60/80 targets in 2025, reporting $7.9 billion revenue, 13.2% EBITDA margin and 80% free-cash-flow conversion, then set…