Thursday, September 24, 2026

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

SA C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

Atlassian: A $140 Billion Market Growing At 14% Annually Creates A Massive Opportunity

Atlassian targets a $140 billion market growing 14% annually, with Rovo reaching 5 million monthly active users and assisted actions rising…

TEAM $48B

SA Muhammad Cheema Sep 24

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

SiTime: Wall Street May Be Underestimating Its Growth

SiTime’s MEMS timing portfolio, Renesas acquisition and 1.6T transition are positioned to drive growth and margin expansion as supply…

SITM $20B

SA Gil Rotstein Sep 23 2 clicks

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

WK · long

Workiva INC

Workiva, an enterprise software platform, trades at a reasonable valuation as it approaches its first profitable period since its 2008…

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center

Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…

CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis

CrowdStrike faces a renewal cliff after its July 2024 outage, with Microsoft Defender bundling, litigation, SEC and DOJ scrutiny, and a…

Portfolio Update January 2026

DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…

How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar

A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap

LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…

Market Leader in a Growing Industry Trading at 6x EBIT

Stride operates 89 virtual and blended public K-12 schools in 31 states and trades at 6x EBIT after an operational setback.

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…