Tuesday, September 22, 2026

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Sep 22 CRWV $49B

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 9 clicks

Sep 22 ON $30B

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Cestrian Capital Research 6 clicks

From X

@convequity Sep 2

Convequity on X

Exploring SaaS survival in the agentic era — $PANW vs $DDOG. Both sit on critical telemetry. Both expose MCP. On paper they look alike. They aren’t. Model labs have a real reason to build their own observability collectors. Coding agents write and ship code; to get better they need production feedback. Own the host telemetry, close the loop. That same incentive is much weaker for cybersecurity endpoint agents. Finding beacons and writing better code are different jobs. Building a Falcon- or Cortex-class sensor estate is years of trust, labeled attacks, and compliance — not a natural side quest for a model lab. Then there’s the screen. Datadog doesn’t own where developers live. They already live in Cursor / Claude Code / Copilot. So those agents pull Datadog in over MCP. The data plane stays sticky; the UI gets shared. Palo Alto usually does own where the SOC lives. The shift starts in the security console — cases, playbooks, response. In a PANW shop, Cortex is the main workplace. Claude can sit on top in a multi-vendor stack. That’s the risk but not the base case. Same idea — agents need the pipes. What’s different is who tries to own the collector, and who already owns the desk. Thoughts welcome. Full Part 3 write-up for Convequity subscribers is on its way.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 2

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CRDO - 2027 and 2028 look so good, but it’s such a volatile stock it’s going to be a wild ride. This is one where it makes sense to trim / add a lot.

@pennycheck Sep 2

⚽️📡 on X

153 Million IDs stolen - confirmed The largest data leak in history Assume your info is stolen. The small basket of human ID verify should see a bump off this but I think most direct beneficiary maybe $GEN who owns lifelock as well as a the entire full suite of consumer facing cyber security solutions.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 2

BDC on X

@evanspiegel Unless you want to shut down Specs, you will need more capital for it because the current version will not be a mass market commercial success. I would look to raise minority equity for Spec's via a strategic partnership. Possibly with a frontier lab. FL's lack hardware. SNAP lacks an A.I. deal (Perplexity fell through). Get it done. Save $SNAP.

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

@sophieanalytics Sweet thanks. Haven't dug much in $WY yet. Just been doing $RYN. So WY doesn't do much HBU?

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

Timber companies are a hard asset and low risk way to play the datacenter boom. $RYN $WY https://t.co/YElT0VT8R9

@BrokenMoats Sep 1 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Why is $GTLB up ah? Expense dollar growth far outstripped revenue dollar growth? and 117 NR at this valuation is not impressive, let alone the 50% increase in SBC yoy.....

@BrokenMoats Sep 1

Broken Moats on X

$QXO finally in my valuation zone, acquired shares this afternoon. Rates present a challenge, soft commodities surging and geopolitical could further stress inflation/yields but you usually do not get deal when everything is firing on all cylinders

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy

Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…

RDDT $28B

Fountainhead Sep 22 4 clicks

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Credo Technology: New Position in My Private Portfolio

Credo Technology was added at $170.54 after a 40% selloff, backed by its high-speed AECs and optical connectivity for AI data centers.

CRDO $40B

Hated Moats Sep 22 18 clicks

Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions

Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…

CPRT $25B

Robert J. Lake Sep 22 2 clicks

GameStop Is Extreme Deep Value

GameStop's collectibles mix rose to 45% of sales as gross margin reached 44%, supporting a deep-value case built on cash and store…

GME $12B

The Value Road Sep 21 8 clicks

Tempus AI: Data And Applications Will Unlock More Upside

Tempus AI’s Q2 oncology testing volumes rose 31%, while data and applications revenue grew 28% as its clinical data flywheel expands.

TEM $15B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 21 2 clicks

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold’s first Taylor drill holes returned 20.96 g/t AuEq over 1.5m and 209.4 g/t silver over 10.7m, alongside 141.10 g/t gold at…

KGC $29B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 21 3 clicks

INVH · long

Invitation Homes INC

Invitation Homes owns more than 85,000 homes valued at $43 to $48 per share, versus a roughly $30 share price, with occupancy above 96%.

INVH $16B

Value Investors Club Jun 24 5 clicks

[Emergency Lunch-Hour Market Memo] Coherent admits their CPO/NPO Laser is garbage + Cerebras delusional bonus roast

Coherent’s CPO/NPO laser misses 1 MHz effective-linewidth requirements, Irrational Analysis argues.

COHR $63BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Sep 21 3 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…

CSGP $11BZG $6.2B

scuttleblurb Sep 21 4 clicks

“Going Through Some Pain”

Dick’s Sporting Goods’ $2.4 billion Foot Locker acquisition nearly quadruples its store count and adds international exposure, risking a…

DKS $12B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 21 1 click

The Monday Morning Briefing

Latticework’s weekly briefing spotlights discounted European assets including Barco, Bolloré, Brookfield and D’Ieteren, with catalysts…

BN $82B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 21 4 clicks

I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)

Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…

CROX $5.7BCNX $4.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 20 2 clicks

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $5.1BGEO $4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 9 clicks

Deep Dive: Brookfield Corporation

Brookfield Corporation, down 20% YTD, manages $1.27 trillion across asset management, insurance and operating businesses as rates, debt and…

BN $82BBAM $71B

Capitalist Letters Sep 20 4 clicks

Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock

Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…

LUV $20B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 20 4 clicks

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

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