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Monday, September 21, 2026

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[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and national advertising can replicate Apartments.com’s…

ZG $7B
scuttleblurb 4 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Weird world to watch $RNG as the new memory stock. How much longer we think the squeeze in all things people were short 6 weeks ago lasts....getting pretty crazy to watch $WDAY climbing to $185. Doomsday at the lows, but not totally off base to reset off true profitability after years of sbc adjusted multiples. But the risks still remain, that structurally the barrier to generating code is lower, competition will increase as a result. And while there are advantages to certain players installed bases and data the moats have eroded to various degrees. Does anyone actually believe we need more phones, and more base level contact services in the future ($RNG) I doubt so. Its a pretty impressive counter trend, squeeze move against a clear trend (the reversal of May and June) but if you've benefited here from these rebounds I think you would be crazy to not only book profits but not find short exposure in this area, many of these companies even if they surrvive and can pivot to being ai beneficiary will go through some tough times in the coming few years as the prices decline for models and compute access
@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

I still own $AIRS and think it will work. The company is in a much better financial and operational position than it was a year ago. Heading into the quarter, I thought they would post 3-5% same center comps, instead we got a 1% and they stated June/July was "soft". Guidance came down $1.0-$1.5MM for EBITDA, probably not the stuff (-40%+) declines are made of, but you have a ton of fast money and retail here. Brutal. However, the company spent a fair amount on top of the funnel brand marketing the past 3-6 months, the returns on that spend are longer tail in nature. Leverage is <2.0x now. They keep adding to the "menu" for procedures, which should drive significant improvements in site utilization and incremental margins that could approach 40-50%. This business has the potential to reach 150-200 units at 20-25% EBITDA margins. That would represent $1.0B in topline and $200MM+ of EBITDA. Obviously that doesn't happen anytime soon, but they can get back to de novo site expansion of 2-4 units a year starting in 2027 to get the growth flywheel going. The industry remains incredibly fragmented and the GLP-1 tailwinds for aesthetics are quite real. It's kind of remarkable the stock trades like this given the size of the float, which is probably only 12-13MM shares. Hopefully we'll see some insider buying in the coming days. At these levels, this would be an attractive asset for quite a few potential buyers IMO.

Investor Letters

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QNT: The 100× Question

Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…

QNT $2B
Mispriced Assets 3 clicks

House of Weichai

Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…

PSIX $1.1B
Maius Partners 2 clicks

Diamond Estates: Research Note

Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits plans to expand grocery and export sales, invest in six brands, and improve winery operations through FY29.

LSDAF $1.1B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 2 clicks
OPRX · long

Optimizerx CORP

OptimizeRx, OPRX, trades 30% below its February 2025 writeup despite becoming a stronger company.

OPRX $137M
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

Vizsla Silver (VZLA)

Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…

VZLA $2B
Triple S Special Situations Investing 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LII

Dell’s AI-server demand and Microchip’s data-center components lead updates on Cirrus Logic and STMicroelectronics, alongside a weekly…

CRUS $6B
Monte Independent Investment Research

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