Friday, September 18, 2026

Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.

FICO $19B

Steve Eisman Sep 18 2 clicks

Sep 18 NTDOY $61B

$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest

Yet Another Value Podcast 1 click

Sep 18 DASH $81B

Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@HaydenCapital Aug 11 1 click

Fred Liu on X

I think $MELI's up for same reason $SE's up. Signs that Sea's reinvestment cycle is turning (or least not as aggressive as feared - see the 2H ebitda guide), which means less pressure on MELI. And maybe MELI margins have found a bottom / will inflect soon too. + Just maybe, both can co-exist & grow 50% y/y.

@TheBenSchmark Aug 11 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

For FY 2027, the Company expects net sales in the range of $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion. Net sales in the range of $14.5 billion & $15.5 billion for the first quarter of FY 2027 ending September, 2026, and non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $1.01 to $1.10 $SMCI 👀 https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj

@majgeoinvesting Aug 11

Maj Soueidan on X

Just finished going over the $BWEN Q2 earnings script. There might be a glimmer of hope it to keep it interesting in the short term: •Unfortunately, 19% EBITDA industrial segment margins will “fall to more normal levels.” For the last three years, that’s ranged between 11 and 15%. However, revenue will be above historical levels. •Backlog is exceptionally strong, with visibility out to 2028. These guys have never had that kind of visibility. •It looks like a chance for profitability comes from me two scenarios. 1). Aggressively growing the industrial segment because it doesn’t look like margin expansion will occur. 2). The gearing segment EBITDA margins have been historically low, under 10%. So an expansion there, while also getting revenue growth might be interesting. •As far as acquisitions go, I’m not holding out for them finding a great deal. You have to think that valuations will be extended. I would actually prefer them to take their time, by being patient and growing organically - filling some of the available capacity they have right now. •In the end, it’s all about margins for these guys. They really have had a hard time keeping them stable.

@Mike10947310 Aug 11 1 click

Mike on X

@kingtutcap I know $VELO well any others to look at? Maybe something involved in missile production?

@irbezek Aug 11 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@shortbus_ace @akeemcap @QuietProsperity $CAAP is 6x EV/EBITDA and no Mexico. But half of EBITDA is from Argentina, so that's its own can of worms (albeit the Argy fees are charged at a fixed USD rate not Peso)

@leevalueroach Aug 11

Lee Roach on X

Entravision $EVC has $870 million market cap here. $944 million enterprise value. Ad-Tech based on guide will do around $160mm EBITDA. Media worth $300mm based on comps. Call option on $500mm of spectrum. Say spectrum is worth zero. Back out of media and you are buying this for 4.0x and no value to spectrum. Market saying big customer goes away completely here. I think that’s wrong.

@irbezek Aug 11 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@shortbus_ace @akeemcap @QuietProsperity Sheinbaum doesn't leave office until 2030 so that's a reasonable bet, though maybe you get clipped in 2029 once the pre-election hope cycle starts up. Underlying EBITDA will grow 12-15%/year like usual (faster at $ASR with the M&A) so stocks can still work in the interim.

@marginofdanger Aug 11 1 click

marginofdanger on X

$BWEL has been the most aggressive in years on its share buybacks since the last reported financials (6/30/25). While not as significant as I would like, the increased pace of buyback is probably a good sign for FY26 results. https://t.co/tQmmswZS0P

Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade

Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…

PL $6B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 18 2 clicks

QNT: The 100× Question

Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…

QNT $2B

Mispriced Assets Sep 18 3 clicks

Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility

Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…

GNRC $12B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Sep 18

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $13B

Rebound Capital Sep 18 1 click

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha

Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…

COO $11BRGR $671M

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 18 1 click

House of Weichai

Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…

PSIX $1.1B

Maius Partners Sep 17 2 clicks

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

STM $47BNVTS $3.3B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Diamond Estates: Research Note

Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits plans to expand grocery and export sales, invest in six brands, and improve winery operations through FY29.

LSDAF $1.2B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 17 2 clicks

Progyny: Best-In-Class And Likely To Exceed Analyst Estimates In 2027

Progyny's Q2 revenue rose 11% excluding Amazon, with margin expansion and nearly 100% EPS growth guidance for 2026 supporting…

PGNY $2B

Robert J. Lake Sep 17

Problems at Jackson Financial ($JXN)

Jackson Financial administers $287 billion in retirement accounts while a report says its captive, hedge-loss installment plan and…

JXN $8.8B

Hunterbrook Sep 17 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $26B

Speedwell Memos Sep 17 3 clicks

Viridian Therapeutics: Two Products, One Commercial Buildout

Viridian Therapeutics is building a shared commercial platform for Lumvoa and investigational elegrobart in thyroid eye disease, with…

VRDN $2.5B

Equity Eagle Sep 17

Vizsla Silver (VZLA)

Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…

VZLA $2B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 17 1 click

DiamondRock Hospitality Company: Still A Buy, Though Not As Cheap

DiamondRock Hospitality raised 2026 guidance after Q2 RevPAR rose 7%, AFFO climbed 25.7% to $0.44 a share, and net debt to EBITDA reached…

DRH $2.5B

Philip Wang Sep 17

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $7.9B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 2 clicks

Vistra: Q2 2026 Confirmed The AI Power Scarcity Problem

Vistra’s Q2 2026 results reinforce its PJM and ERCOT generation advantage as AI data-center demand tightens power supply, supported by…

VST $47B

The Curious Analyst Sep 17

EFXT · long

Enerflex LTD

Enerflex, a $3 billion natural gas infrastructure and equipment company, blends contracted energy-services cash flows with equipment…

EFXT $2.8B

Value Investors Club Jun 19 2 clicks

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

CPRT $26BACVA $1.8B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold's McIntosh drilling found 0.23 g/t gold over 65.5m, 370m southwest of the existing resource, and extended mineralization 86m…

KGC $34B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 16 2 clicks

Friday, September 18, 2026

Fred Liu on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Mike on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

Ian Bezek on X

marginofdanger on X

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