Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Back to today

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B
Sylence Capital 2 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Weird world to watch $RNG as the new memory stock. How much longer we think the squeeze in all things people were short 6 weeks ago lasts....getting pretty crazy to watch $WDAY climbing to $185. Doomsday at the lows, but not totally off base to reset off true profitability after years of sbc adjusted multiples. But the risks still remain, that structurally the barrier to generating code is lower, competition will increase as a result. And while there are advantages to certain players installed bases and data the moats have eroded to various degrees. Does anyone actually believe we need more phones, and more base level contact services in the future ($RNG) I doubt so. Its a pretty impressive counter trend, squeeze move against a clear trend (the reversal of May and June) but if you've benefited here from these rebounds I think you would be crazy to not only book profits but not find short exposure in this area, many of these companies even if they surrvive and can pivot to being ai beneficiary will go through some tough times in the coming few years as the prices decline for models and compute access
@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

I still own $AIRS and think it will work. The company is in a much better financial and operational position than it was a year ago. Heading into the quarter, I thought they would post 3-5% same center comps, instead we got a 1% and they stated June/July was "soft". Guidance came down $1.0-$1.5MM for EBITDA, probably not the stuff (-40%+) declines are made of, but you have a ton of fast money and retail here. Brutal. However, the company spent a fair amount on top of the funnel brand marketing the past 3-6 months, the returns on that spend are longer tail in nature. Leverage is <2.0x now. They keep adding to the "menu" for procedures, which should drive significant improvements in site utilization and incremental margins that could approach 40-50%. This business has the potential to reach 150-200 units at 20-25% EBITDA margins. That would represent $1.0B in topline and $200MM+ of EBITDA. Obviously that doesn't happen anytime soon, but they can get back to de novo site expansion of 2-4 units a year starting in 2027 to get the growth flywheel going. The industry remains incredibly fragmented and the GLP-1 tailwinds for aesthetics are quite real. It's kind of remarkable the stock trades like this given the size of the float, which is probably only 12-13MM shares. Hopefully we'll see some insider buying in the coming days. At these levels, this would be an attractive asset for quite a few potential buyers IMO.

Investor Letters

All letters

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B
Net Interest 1 click

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $160M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 2 clicks

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $643M
Yet Another Value Podcast 3 clicks
HNRG · long

Hallador Energy CO

Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.

HNRG $685M
Value Investors Club 3 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

108 publications

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 30 of 166

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

71 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

78 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.