Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.5B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Hated Moats 2 clicks

From X

@kab604 Aug 20

kab60 on X

@THESAVAGEJOHNSO It's the biggest shitco in a sector full of shitcos. Can get the same exposure with $GPN + $FIS at about the same price, but they already focused their businesses, grow MSD and in a much better spot. $FISV can't hold on to neither execs nor customers, why bother

@kab604 Aug 20

kab60 on X

@BillRoman15 Not sure I follow... I also own $GPN and thinks it is great value despite a nice pop...

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 3 clicks

BDC on X

@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.

@stockgutter Aug 19 1 click

SG on X

$MRNA any basis to think this can make it as a monotherapy or just combination drug?

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 3 clicks

BDC on X

@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap

@cfrischer1 Aug 19

Charles Frischer on X

@Jono8325 @MLedrappier @roadkillrecipes @CalgaryLeveen @FishOnCapital $NN Someone asked my opinion. I provided it. I am sorry if it makes you frustrated that things often take longer than we expect. It has been my life experience that things take longer than expected. That said, I am very positive on the next couple of months with NN.

@stockgutter Aug 19 2 clicks

SG on X

Good report from $BULL. I remain long and may add. https://t.co/mvOiOAN83t

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 4 clicks

BDC on X

@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.4B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $337M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $643M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

The Williams Companies: A Tough Competitor Tackles The Northeast

Williams Companies faces a revoked Northeast pipeline permit while pursuing growth through Momentum Midstream, Gulf export access and…

WMB $87B

Long Player Sep 10

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

HNRG · long

Hallador Energy CO

Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.

HNRG $708M

Value Investors Club Jun 15 3 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

TransDigm is still in it for the money

TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…

TDG $61B

scuttleblurb Sep 10 1 click

Gaming And Leisure Properties: Guilty By Association With VICI

Gaming and Leisure Properties raised AFFO guidance and dividends after Q2, trading at 10.2 times forward AFFO with an 80% payout ratio and…

GLPI $12BVICI $26B

Dividend Collection Agency Sep 10

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

NSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

Dyne Therapeutics Remains A Buy Even As Novartis Trial Failure Hits DM1 Class

Dyne Therapeutics fell 16% after Novartis’ HARBOR failure raised doubts that RNA-targeting biomarker gains translate into functional…

DYN $3.2B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 9 1 click

ContextLogic Acquires gChem (LOGC): Update and Valuation

ContextLogic will acquire specialty-solvent maker gChem for $850 million, funded by a $650 million rights offering and $250 million of…

LOGC $682M

Hidden Gems Investing Sep 8 4 clicks

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 6 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Growth Is Doing The Heavy Lifting, And I Am Buying The Setup

SoFi targets $4.75–$4.85 billion of 2026 adjusted net revenue as lending, loan-platform fees and cross-selling scale its financial-services…

SOFI $22B

The Curious Analyst Sep 8

Sunday, September 13, 2026

kab60 on X

kab60 on X

BDC on X

SG on X

BDC on X

Charles Frischer on X

SG on X

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