Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel model.

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 6 clicks

Sep 7 TRV $75B

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Steve Eisman 7 clicks

Sep 7 UBER $142B

A quick update on Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives 5 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping

@catechwilliams Jun 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@Mike10947310 $CVGW Sources >90% of its avocados from Michoacan, MX. $CMG purchases ~10% of tot US avocados. Its latest ESG report noted “diversifying away from Mexican suppliers.” This latest drama down there will almost certainly accelerate sourcing away from $CVGW, etc.

@CapitalVoss May 25

Voss Capital on X

Here is a link to our Q1 2024 letter. https://t.co/mVYPJrgCr1 $SWI $IMXI $ALTG $GENI $RTO $RCM $SLCA @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.

lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal

Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…

LULU $11B

On the Pulse Sep 7 1 click

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.2BPEP $179B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 8 clicks

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $10B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

Check Point Software: AI Could Change The Growth Equation

Check Point Software’s AI-centric cybersecurity platform could lift revenue growth to 10%, supporting a $166 intrinsic value estimate…

CHKP $14B

Hong Chew Eu Sep 7

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

AMZN $2.7TCOIN $52B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms

X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…

XE $4.7B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6 2 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive: Not A No Brainer

AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…

APP $104B

Capitalist Letters Sep 6 6 clicks

Amazon’s AI Economics

Amazon combines AWS AI infrastructure, model-company stakes and retail automation, with AWS targeting $1 trillion in annual revenue over…

AMZN $2.7T

Modern Value Investing Sep 6 7 clicks

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers…

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 8 clicks

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…

META $2T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 5 2 clicks

MGRC · long

Mcgrath Rentcorp

McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.

MGRC $2.8B

Value Investors Club Jun 10 2 clicks

Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks

Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…

PINS $10B

Richard Durant Sep 7 2 clicks

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.4TMETA $2T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 18 clicks

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6B

The Value Road Sep 4 27 clicks

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

AVGO $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 4 10 clicks

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $104B

Zoltan Ban Sep 4 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.2BCOST $398B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $44BCRM $194B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 24 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $98B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

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