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Friday, August 28, 2026

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@ActAccordingly 1 click

PAA Research on X

I still own $AIRS and think it will work. The company is in a much better financial and operational position than it was a year ago. Heading into the quarter, I thought they would post 3-5% same center comps, instead we got a 1% and they stated June/July was "soft". Guidance came down $1.0-$1.5MM for EBITDA, probably not the stuff (-40%+) declines are made of, but you have a ton of fast money and retail here. Brutal. However, the company spent a fair amount on top of the funnel brand marketing the past 3-6 months, the returns on that spend are longer tail in nature. Leverage is <2.0x now. They keep adding to the "menu" for procedures, which should drive significant improvements in site utilization and incremental margins that could approach 40-50%. This business has the potential to reach 150-200 units at 20-25% EBITDA margins. That would represent $1.0B in topline and $200MM+ of EBITDA. Obviously that doesn't happen anytime soon, but they can get back to de novo site expansion of 2-4 units a year starting in 2027 to get the growth flywheel going. The industry remains incredibly fragmented and the GLP-1 tailwinds for aesthetics are quite real. It's kind of remarkable the stock trades like this given the size of the float, which is probably only 12-13MM shares. Hopefully we'll see some insider buying in the coming days. At these levels, this would be an attractive asset for quite a few potential buyers IMO.

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The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $696M
The Oak Bloke 8 clicks
VSEC · long 2026-05-30

Vse CORP

VSE Corp trades at $185, with a stated $246 fair value and 2027 estimated EV/EBITDA of 15x.

VSEC $6.2B
Value Investors Club 4 clicks
HWKN · short 2026-05-30

Hawkins INC

Hawkins (HWKN) faces margin pressure as cost increases and municipal budget constraints weigh on its water-chemical distribution business.

HWKN $2.5B
Value Investors Club 3 clicks

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