Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Entravision’s investment case shifted from sequential hypergrowth and SOTP upside to year-over-year growth after management guided Q3 below Q2. The investor exited after lighter-than-expected Q2 growth.
What price would you guys buy $LFTO at? https://t.co/KotrBWwRVj
So now $SMCI is part of the agentic & SpaceX capex trade? https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj
Me seeing $HOG up 5% after a massive insider buy the market missed. https://t.co/PaS59DADNh
$PSFE results: good enough, not great. https://t.co/ilpWevfAd5
Liftoff fell 10% after guiding against sequential growth following a Q2 boosted by model breakthroughs and the World Cup, while targeting 35% annual revenue growth.
Some interesting credit stats: > Hyperscalers are now ~20% of the entire 30-yr IG bond bucket > ~40% of all 30-yr IG deals this year came from hyperscalers > $AMZN and $META each make up more than 5% of long-end bonds individually
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Higher rates threaten equity multiples and AI data-center economics, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital…
Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.
Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.
Nexi, continental Europe’s largest merchant acquirer, is presented as a long investment using normalized EPS and EBIT that exclude…
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