Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2.2BCCOI $515M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $445M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 NVDA $5.5T

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

MBI Deep Dives 5 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Aug 19 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Steadily down, then suddenly. H/T @forgebitz Semrush showed signficant decline for $RDDT citations last year, and now a sudden further plummet. Perhaps human shitposting and SEO AI slop fest isn’t indispensable data… https://t.co/aSIBSTBUfE https://t.co/z0EEAvAm7E

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 1 click

BDC on X

Reality check: Ph2 $MRNA lead with the data. Ph3, no actual data. They are just saying they hit their endpoints. Those being RFS, DFMS, OS. "We have not disclosed with Merk kind of where the goalpost is". This is not a "personalized cancer vaccine". $MRNA gave themselves an A on the test but we don't know how hard the test was. That's what this is.

@junkbondinvest Aug 19

junkbondinvestor on X

NEBIUS GROUP TO OFFER $4.5 BILLION OF CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES Wow, that's a monster convert issuance. But when your stock is this volatile, that vol is an asset. $NBIS https://t.co/B3VKZw72rx

@mavix_leon Aug 19 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG has entered into a pan-European partnership with ALSO, Europe’s largest technology provider that provides an extensive network of resellers, system integrators and professional installers. It also supports Shelly’s international scaling strategy. https://t.co/E4Gg0SWhIA

@mavix_leon Aug 19 1 click

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG major shareholder Svetlin Todorov has transferred nearly 1/4 of his shares (6.5% of Shelly) into a LLC he also owns. Maybe a preparation for a potential partial sale to Schneider Electric who would buy into Shelly as a strategic investor / partnership? https://t.co/YJfHzbSeeH

@cfrischer1 Aug 18

Charles Frischer on X

@MLedrappier @roadkillrecipes @CalgaryLeveen @FishOnCapital $NN No doubt the smartest people in the room think Sept and Oct are very live months. The SpaceX news is critically important great news. I may be wrong, but I love the company’s position right now.

@mavix_leon Aug 18 2 clicks

mavix on X

I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea

@ActAccordingly Aug 18 1 click

PAA Research on X

It’s the same picture: time to get SHORT $CASY and $MUSA https://t.co/EFTszhSvv9

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

PRGS $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

MT 2026-08-27

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

ArcelorMittal’s regional steel franchises, integrated mining and India expansion are lifting EBITDA per ton and supporting per-share…

MT $47B

Capital Connoisseur Aug 27 1 click

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.7T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 6 clicks

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.8B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 13 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $12BMRNA $79B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $445M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

RGLD · long

Royal Gold INC

Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.

RGLD $20B

Value Investors Club May 29

RKLB 2026-08-26

Rocket Lab Is Becoming Much Bigger Than Neutron

Rocket Lab generated $234 million in Q2 revenue and built a $2.36 billion backlog, with Neutron priced at $50 million to $55 million before…

RKLB $40B

Pythia Research Aug 26 3 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $415M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7.1B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $866M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 12 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

BDC on X

junkbondinvestor on X

mavix on X

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Charles Frischer on X

mavix on X

PAA Research on X

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