Thursday, August 27, 2026

ACIW 2026-08-27

ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better

ACIW $5.4B

SA SiliconBytes Insights Aug 27 5 clicks

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

MT 2026-08-27

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

MT $56B

SA Capital Connoisseur Aug 27 3 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity

TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) – Pricing Power Impaired?

Fair Isaac raised FICO Score royalties from roughly $0.50–$0.60 in 2022 to $4.95 in 2025, drawing regulatory scrutiny over its…

Bristlemoon Capital on Business Breakdowns – MercadoLibre (MELI)

MercadoLibre’s Daniel Wu discusses MELI’s Latin American e-commerce operations, fintech business model, growth opportunities and risks on…

Meta Platforms (META) 2Q25: SuperMetalligence

Meta’s 22% Q2 revenue growth and AI-driven ad engagement support its core business, while planned 2026 capex of roughly $100 billion…

Cabot CORP

Cabot’s short case targets a market pricing FY26 EPS of $6.00–$6.50 as trough earnings and assigning value to its battery-materials…

Zillow Group INC

Zillow is pitched as a long with a $72 target, implying 58% upside from trough earnings and a trough valuation multiple.

Paramount Skydance CORP

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is a levered media conglomerate expected to merge with Warner Bros. Discovery in the third quarter.

QXO, Inc.

QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…

Peloton Interactive INC

Peloton trades near $5.50 with a $2.3 billion equity value and $2.7 billion enterprise value after weak December-quarter earnings and its…