Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 DOMO $177M

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Aug 23 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@sidecarcap Here’s a few non promotional microcaps we’ve covered at @GeoInvesting throughout the years: $SCIA $MOJO $SIF $ESP $PXHI $KEQU $MUEL $TBTC $RAVE $CRAWA(acquired last year).

@majgeoinvesting Aug 23

Maj Soueidan on X

$TENX needs a symbol change... Went the wrong way.... $13 to $1 in one day on weak phase 3 data. Respect to biotech investors who take on this type of risk to try and nab the "next one." Truly an expert's playing field. https://t.co/9DVIpuSWuZ

@orrdavid Aug 23 4 clicks

David Orr on X

@grok @jasondebolt Put that another way, you could have known Burry or Einhorn didn't have a real track record back in the mid 2000s, if you'd just realized they were betting huge on the value factor. Same thing with $ARKK through 2021.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 23

Maj Soueidan on X

I don’t usually invest in real estate stocks. But @jeremie0117 pitch on $CSH.UN.TO ( $CWSRF) is enticing - buys properties from Cos. who overpaid, maintained low rental rates to ensure occupancy and need to sell. Chartwell pays below market prices and raise rents. @AurelionRsch https://t.co/WTUcqa06nu

@orrdavid Aug 23 4 clicks

David Orr on X

A rhetorical thought experiment: Someone was all in $GME or $AMC stock on Jan 1st, 2021. They sold all of their stock right near the top. That's +1,600% for $GME and +2,500% for $AMC. They simply did nothing for the next 5 years. $GME guy still has a 65% CAGR, $AMC guy an 80% CAGR. These skilled investors?

@majgeoinvesting Aug 22

Maj Soueidan on X

@scottfelsenthal It used to be on my do not buy list. However, it’s back on my watchlist. For the record, $SIF was also on my do not buy list for years. 🤐… until recently.. Regarding $OML.V, I think they’ve been setting that gross margin expansion target for a while. So, we’ll have to see.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 22

Maj Soueidan on X

👀 Potential $SIF InfoArb worth digging into… $RTX (Raytheon) just received a massive $22.9B, 7-year Tomahawk contract, with production targeted to ramp to 1,000+ missiles/year. What’s interesting is that Raytheon says the production ramp will “require investment across its supply chain and working with hundreds of small and midsized suppliers.” $SIF explicitly says its military-aerospace forgings are used in “Missile & Ordnance” applications. They also list Raytheon among its customers Given that Raytheon is now “looking across its supplier base to support an enormous munitions ramp,” does SIF maybe have a fighting chance here? There are probably more direct beneficiaries than SIF. But for its size, even a relatively small piece of the work could move the needle… it’s a rabbit hole worth digging into. 🔎… Time for @realLigerCub to step in :) Important caveat: I have found no evidence that SIF supplies Tomahawk, or even that its existing Raytheon relationship is tied specifically to Raytheon’s missile business.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 22

Maj Soueidan on X

@UnderlyingValue Yeah, they've mostly come through with what they said they would do over the years. They're also non-promotional. The operating leverage in the model is substantial. A comp just went bankrupt. Some good stuff here. Thanks to @OlivierColombo for pitching $LEAT to me in 2019.

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $31M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $37MHHS $35M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 8 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $347M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

PTLO 2026-08-20

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…

PTLO $286M

KC Research Aug 20 2 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

LGCY · long

Legacy Education

Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.

LGCY $132M

Value Investors Club May 29

SM 2026-08-26

SM Energy: Tailwinds From Fading Hedge Drag And Strong Oil Leverage

SM Energy's Civitas acquisition doubled acreage and production, while underwater oil hedges depress cash flow through 2026 before rolling…

SM $8.8B

Elliott Gue Aug 26

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

SERV $370M

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $383M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8BKSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Aug 11 13 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $902M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

David Orr on X

Maj Soueidan on X

David Orr on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

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