Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 20 ELALF $3.2B

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast 12 clicks

Aug 20 CCC $3.9B

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

scuttleblurb 17 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Aug 7 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

GS on $ACMR beat and 2026 raise. PT $164 2027 numbers and memory contribution (CXMT matter more) imho https://t.co/XXKNyhL8Gg

@TheBenSchmark Aug 7 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

“for the first time in over a decade, all Century assets should be operating at full capacity. I'm very proud to report today that our team has delivered” As expected, Q3 & Q4 will be when the real earnings power of $CENX is demonstrated. Still under-earning. Still bottleneck. https://t.co/Buw6H87Sed https://t.co/KyfyjMcJhq

@stockgutter Aug 7

SG on X

This is the right explanation for $DOCS climb AH yest, which may continue today. Doubt it holds past next week. https://t.co/pdg84pbJcm

@ActAccordingly Aug 6

PAA Research on X

I don't know what people expected for the $RKT print and guide. Always puts and takes, but this was a solid print in this environment. $UWMC just went through the windshield and my guess is that $RKT has some share gains to be had there. Gain on sale in the Pro channel was tight in the quarter so perhaps that reflects some of that.

@irbezek Aug 6

Ian Bezek on X

@MoodyWriter13 Agreed, good quarter, excellent longer-term trajectory. Very happy to have a chunky position here. $INTR

@ActAccordingly Aug 6 1 click

PAA Research on X

I don't think I've ever seen a company blow up quite the way that $UWMC just did. Hedging a book of mortgage assets that you don't even own yet? Then getting demolished as rates rose and the deal didn't close. Congrats to @hntrbrkmedia on this one. I don't think this was the core thesis, but the idea that the management team here was suspect certainly was. Can't believe I wasn't involved in the short here.

@stockgutter Aug 6

SG on X

$CELH ugly report https://t.co/ONzrMeYjwF https://t.co/rZCEQKjPk5

@majgeoinvesting Aug 5

Maj Soueidan on X

$TPC came through with a nice quarter and 50% dividend increase. Visibility seems to be improving, drastically.. https://t.co/MX5EloaL6I

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

ZETA 2026-08-19

Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)

Zeta Global’s Athena AI superusers grow four times faster, while comprehensive adopters generate 70% of revenue.

ZETA $7.6B

Alpha Line Aug 19 1 click

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

CC · long

the chemours inc.

Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.

CC $2.3B

Value Investors Club May 29

SM 2026-08-26

SM Energy: Tailwinds From Fading Hedge Drag And Strong Oil Leverage

SM Energy's Civitas acquisition doubled acreage and production, while underwater oil hedges depress cash flow through 2026 before rolling…

SM $8.8B

Elliott Gue Aug 26

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $5B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 2 clicks

Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…

SFM $6.4B

Bearhold Research Jul 11 2 clicks

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…

VEON $4.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 1 1 click

Pershing Square Challenge 2026 finalists on MSA Safety: a hidden quality compounder? $MSA

MSA Safety’s Pershing Square Challenge finalists pitch gas-detection subscriptions, mandated SCBA replacement cycles and a 2023 liability…

MSA $6.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 30 2 clicks

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.8B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Vidrala

Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.

VDRFF $3.6B

smallvalue. May 19 6 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

SG on X

PAA Research on X

Ian Bezek on X

PAA Research on X

SG on X

Maj Soueidan on X

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