Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Aug 25 STNE $2.3B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research Aug 25 SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Archegos’ March 2021 collapse exposed enormous equity-swap exposures and alleged float cornering, raising questions about prime-broker limits, short squeezes and passive-index buying.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Meta’s platform engagement and product pipeline remain strong despite higher capital intensity, framing recent weakness as a buying opportunity.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
OpenAI’s CFO Sarah Friar also on a media tour spreading the good cheer… bullish $ORCL https://t.co/oymK8c7nVc
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Sam Altman said OpenAI’s revenue ramp is strengthening and its compute commitments may have been too conservative, a positive signal for OpenAI and Oracle.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Amkor at roughly $46 offers a 3 to 4 year setup built on scale, new capacity and advanced packaging demand, despite weak margins, ROIC and capital intensity.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH
Investor Letters
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WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
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