Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 4 clicks

Aug 24 ADYEY $31B

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

MBI Deep Dives 6 clicks

Aug 23 ABNB $99B

Core Memory

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

From X

@junkbondinvest Aug 10 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

$INTC raising $15bn in common stock for GCP. Probably means another bond deal on the horizon. They last raised in April 2026. All 5 tranches are trading below par https://t.co/9hMDIXjQ4G

@junkbondinvest Aug 10 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

*GAMESTOP’S COHEN IS SAID TO WEIGH PULLING $56 BILLION EBAY BID So Cohen is proposing a JV/partnership instead. A full takeover never made much sense from $EBAY’s perspective. $GME

@TheBenSchmark Aug 9 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

@Borlaug_ @SouthernValue95 Thanks. How do you think this dynamic sets up for Halozyme $HALO?

@ChrisCamillo Aug 9 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

The full story of the hotly debated “irresponsible” $AMZN trade that made me $10M in a day. The research. The leverage. The near disaster. The comeback. Link in comments https://t.co/foSxtqY98m

@ChrisCamillo Aug 9 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@JonathanSeller Didn’t miss it, very much long $NVDA

@ChrisCamillo Aug 9 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

I don’t have differentiated alpha on the memory bubble debate, but one important perspective: Sell side reports projecting the memory supply/demand imbalance to peak in the next few quarters are number crunchers modeling today’s known AI use cases. The problem is AI’s biggest use cases may not exist yet. I’d rather bet on AI creating unforeseen demand than on a spreadsheet correctly predicting its known memory needs two years from now. $SNDK $MU

@ChrisCamillo Aug 8 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@Emotionallkrs I think in terms of information parity not price targets. Long $BE

@junkbondinvest Aug 7 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Strategy ($MSTR) has $15bn of preferreds, all yielding 10%+ Here's a quick summary of the situation > ~$22bn of debt + preferred vs. ~$54bn of BTC > Current interest/dividend obligation is now $1.75bn+ per year > $6bn+ of converts (1st tranche putable beginning in '27); all busted > Saylor beginning to sell $BTC and has a $4bn USD reserve which funds 2+ years of fixed obligations > Most junior preferred, $STRD, trading at 64 cents / 15.8% > Most senior preferred, $STRF, trading at 96 cents / 10.6% Is there a relative value trade here? My thoughts below

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 5 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 13 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $74B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 10 clicks

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…

GOOGL $4.2TMETA $1.8T

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 16 11 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $12B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 10 clicks

AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…

MSFT $3.9TAMZN $2.7T

Steve Eisman Aug 14 11 clicks

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…

ZTS $30B

scuttleblurb Aug 13 10 clicks

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $25B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 10 clicks

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12 12 clicks

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…

SCHW $168BLPLA $26B

Steve Eisman Aug 10 14 clicks

RBLX · long

Roblox CORP

Roblox's valuation has fallen from 30x to 50x forward EBITDA, framing the selloff as a long opportunity despite near-term headwinds.

RBLX $33B

Value Investors Club May 25 1 click

LLY 2026-08-22

Eli Lilly: Shaking Off Competition From The Dethroned Novo Nordisk

Eli Lilly holds 60–61% of the US obesity-drug market as prescriptions and international expansion offset pricing pressure from Novo Nordisk.

LLY $1.1TNVO $168B

JR Research Aug 22 3 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 10 clicks

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

WMT $877BPYPL $47B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 21 7 clicks

PLTR 2026-08-21

Palantir Just Turned Its Biggest Weakness Into A Strength

Palantir’s revenue rose 93% to $1.94 billion as U.S. commercial bookings jumped 149%, lifting GAAP operating margin to 47% and free cash…

PLTR $466B

Quantryon Capital Aug 21 3 clicks

Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash

Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 20 6 clicks

NBIS 2026-08-20

Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number

Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.

NBIS $60B

The Quality Growth Investor Aug 20 3 clicks

Alphabet Inc. ($GOOGL) - Deep Dive

Alphabet's Google Cloud swung from a $3.1 billion operating loss in 2021 to $13.9 billion profit in 2025 as Search revenue grew 13.2%.

GOOGL $4.2T

Bearhold Research Aug 10 13 clicks

[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same

Visa and Mastercard have absorbed digital wallets and BNPL into their networks, using global merchant acceptance to turn supposed…

V $696BMA $503B

scuttleblurb Aug 10 10 clicks

SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman reviews SpaceX earnings, AI capital spending’s drag on free cash flow, Meta’s struggles, and the collapse of Situational…

SPCX $1.8TPLTR $466B

Steve Eisman Aug 7 15 clicks

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

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