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Tuesday, August 25, 2026

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@leevalueroach

Lee Roach on X

The management team at $NCMI are idiots. Pausing the dividend and buyback to buy an operate of digital video elevator and lobby advertising in office buildings. For $275 million. They pulled guidance too and net leverage is 3.9x. They are buying this garbage at 14.5x 2025 EBITDA. The $3.5 million of annualized syngeries only gets you to 12.2x EBITDA. And they are headlining a 10x acquisition multiple. Any management team that spends shareholder capital buying overvalued assets needs to be fired.
@majgeoinvesting

Maj Soueidan on X

Just finished going over the $BWEN Q2 earnings script. There might be a glimmer of hope it to keep it interesting in the short term: •Unfortunately, 19% EBITDA industrial segment margins will “fall to more normal levels.” For the last three years, that’s ranged between 11 and 15%. However, revenue will be above historical levels. •Backlog is exceptionally strong, with visibility out to 2028. These guys have never had that kind of visibility. •It looks like a chance for profitability comes from me two scenarios. 1). Aggressively growing the industrial segment because it doesn’t look like margin expansion will occur. 2). The gearing segment EBITDA margins have been historically low, under 10%. So an expansion there, while also getting revenue growth might be interesting. •As far as acquisitions go, I’m not holding out for them finding a great deal. You have to think that valuations will be extended. I would actually prefer them to take their time, by being patient and growing organically - filling some of the available capacity they have right now. •In the end, it’s all about margins for these guys. They really have had a hard time keeping them stable.

Investor Letters

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NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B
The Oak Bloke 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 13 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $383M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 9 clicks
OFRM · long

Once Upon A Farm Pbc

Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) makes organic baby food, smoothies and kid snacks using high-pressure processing instead of heat pasteurization.

OFRM $695M
Value Investors Club

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M
The Value Road 13 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $902M
Capital Employed 9 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $972M
The Oak Bloke 7 clicks

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