Sunday, August 16, 2026

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Aug 13 M $5.8B

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 11 EVC $727M

Entravision Q2 Notes

The Value Road 13 clicks

From X

@irbezek Aug 16 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@MoodyWriter13 I think $NBIS is as viable of a business as $OKLO is -- that is to say, a clear stock promote as opposed to a for-profit business. But little reason to post about it. The bulls have their view and reality will come for them in due time. I'm not going to change their mind.

@irbezek Aug 15 4 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@boujee_banker @Nobilis_Capital @HettyGreen2020 $FMX reports Bara data, it's growing double digits as well, albeit slower than $TBBB. https://t.co/hlJy1GhSnZ

@irbezek Aug 14 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $jets Bad industry, oil might go up again, consumer spending may roll over, and the new "capacity discipline" is more lucky accident than strategic. Somebody, probably $aal will start dumping capacity on routes again and margins back to zero

@irbezek Aug 14 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr

@natstewart5 Aug 14 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC

@TheBenSchmark Aug 14 2 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK

@eriksen_tim Aug 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

@ShmuelLon Good. That was my intention. It was less about the merits of $EVC in the future and more about recognizing that 1) we have to think about growth properly; and 2)we have to guard against thesis drift.

@eriksen_tim Aug 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

Is $EVC is a classic case of thesis drift for its investors? It was all about sequential hypergrowth (with a supposed SOTP margin of safety). Mgmt said Q3 will be below Q2. Now the thesis is about strong year over year growth. What happens in a few quarters when year over year growth is gone, or is low single digits? Is this really a seasonal business? For me it was a small position due to the nature of the situation. Q2 growth was lighter than I expected so I was selling after hours and have fully exited.

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $902M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $972M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $5B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $653M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

AAON · long

Aaon INC (aaon)

AAON is presented as a long investment idea, revisiting a company written up as a short nearly a decade ago.

AAON $6.3B

Value Investors Club May 5 2 clicks

China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)

China Yuchai (CYD) trades at 2x EBITDA and 0.3x book as data-center backup-power demand, buybacks, and net cash support an earnings…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 5 1 click

Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)

Red Cat’s Teal Drones is one of two remaining candidates for a $600 million to $1 billion-plus U.S.

RCAT $1.1B

Multibagger Monitor Jul 10 3 clicks

Purecycle and the good money after bad decision...

PureCycle’s largest shareholder, Sylebra Capital, keeps financing its delayed, over-budget plastic-recycling plant despite covenant…

PCT $1.1B

John Hempton's Newsletter Aug 21 2 clicks

We can get some extra votes. Pity they are worthless and scumbags are in charge of governance.

Campari’s five-year loyalty plan grants five votes per share, letting its controlling shareholder sell stock while retaining control and…

DVCMY $8.1B

John Hempton's Newsletter Aug 7 1 click

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Entravision Q2 Notes

From X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Nat Stewart on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Investor Letters

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

DEC-laration of independence

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

Aaon INC (aaon)

China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)

Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)

Purecycle and the good money after bad decision...

We can get some extra votes. Pity they are worthless and scumbags are in charge of governance.

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Nat Stewart on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors