$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Friday, August 14, 2026
Back to today
From X
JabroniCoin.USD on X
$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK
Chris Camillo on X
@eager28 @CAndreisen @quazijohir Correct. They’re tied to the same lockup as other pre-IPO investors. I’m not overthinking $SKM it’s simply my public equity proxy for Anthropic.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
So now $SMCI is part of the agentic & SpaceX capex trade? https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj
JabroniCoin.USD on X
JPM taking $ACMR PT from $70 to $110 >105% order growth (memory likely more than half) > international markets expanding > ECP lead (#3 globally) > “Platform in the making” https://t.co/caRVrfHgSm
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Bernstein China Semicap & WFE update: $101 bn in ‘28 > WFE ramp drives reacceleration of local WFE vendors > logic underestimated > memory revised up: CXMT, YM & JHICC easier to ramp clean rooms > local vendors take share from global vendors > ‘27-28 numbers go up $ACMR https://t.co/8qZFoulEau
Chris Camillo on X
@eager28 No I’m invested indirectly via $SKM
JabroniCoin.USD on X
For FY 2027, the Company expects net sales in the range of $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion. Net sales in the range of $14.5 billion & $15.5 billion for the first quarter of FY 2027 ending September, 2026, and non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $1.01 to $1.10 $SMCI 👀 https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS initiates $CENX conservatively: $60 at 4x EV/EBITDA > Oklahoma & shareholder return catalysts > best leverage to US MWP > Oklahoma and datacenter not priced in > 4x below normalized mid cycle https://t.co/MiKQD9rlFV
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $143M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MEVGGF $17B
- White Falcon Capital Management Q2 2026 EPAM $5.8BNU $67B
- Merion Road Capital Q2 2026 HONA $53B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 SHC $5.2BCALY $2.6B
- CrossingBridge Advisors Q2 2026 WBD $77B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q2 ELV $87BICE $87B
- Cedar Creek Partners Q2 ‘26 ENDI $132MEXCE $1.3B
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72
Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…
Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability
Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove
Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…
These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%
Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…
GPC · long Genuine Parts CO
Genuine Parts trades at roughly 9x EBITDA as cyclical weakness and elevated NAPA investment temporarily depress earnings.
Copart: 2Q26 Business Recap
Copart’s fiscal Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and U.S. insurance units dropped 11%, as underinsured drivers and carrier volumes weighed while IAA…
Earnings Updates and A Software Shot in the Dark
Ategrity Specialty’s 30% premium growth, stable reserves and $50 million buyback target an undervalued, thinly traded specialty insurer.
Braemar Hotels & Resorts: HST Four Seasons Sale, Updated Thoughts
Braemar Hotels & Resorts’ Four Seasons sale prompts updated views on HST.
Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!
Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…
The Great Rotation: Long Live the Old Economy — Weekly Treasure Hunt #04
Vaca Muerta’s $36–45-per-barrel breakevens, Milei reforms and $17 billion infrastructure buildout underpin the bullish case for Vista…
Airbnb 4Q25: Business Update
Airbnb’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to $2.8 billion and GBV 16%, while product improvements and AI spending target booking conversion…
Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once
Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg
Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…
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- 1851 Capital
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