Monday, August 3, 2026

Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs

Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI capex enters service.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 3 9 clicks

Aug 3 BLDR $6B

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

scuttleblurb 9 clicks

Aug 2 FND $4.9B

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

MBI Deep Dives 5 clicks

Meta: 2Q26 Business Update

Meta's 2Q26 revenue rose 27%, but capex, depreciation and nascent cloud and AI ambitions raise margin and return risks as it maximizes…

META $1.8T

Speedwell Memos Jul 31 3 clicks

Amazon 2Q'26: AWS Gets the Love

Amazon’s AWS grew 37% to a $169 billion run rate in 2Q’26, while North America retail margins fell excluding a $600 million tariff refund.

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 31 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…

ODFL $37B

scuttleblurb Jul 30 2 clicks

Google’s AI Return on Investment

Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…

GOOGL $4.2T

Bristlemoon Capital Jul 28 4 clicks

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $90B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 3 clicks

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.

TSCO $16B

Bearhold Research Jul 23 2 clicks

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

Boston Scientific built its interventional-medicine portfolio through acquisitions, but early-2000s growth became heavily dependent on the…

BSX $61B

scuttleblurb Jul 20 3 clicks

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 3 clicks

Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…

SFM $6.1B

Bearhold Research Jul 11 4 clicks

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…

VEON $5.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 1 2 clicks

RSI · long

Rush Street Interactive INC

Rush Street Interactive (RSI) is presented as a long investment idea.

RSI $2.4B

Value Investors Club May 5

The Fleet Owners' Push for Aggregating Demand

Uber’s hybrid-network proposal would keep AVs and human drivers on its dispatch platform, while Waymo and Tesla pursue vertically…

UBER $140B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 27 3 clicks

Texas Instruments 2Q'26: Not Another Head Fake

Texas Instruments’ 2Q’26 revenue grew 23% year over year and 13% sequentially, supporting management’s view that pricing and demand have…

TXN $260B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 25 3 clicks

Tesla and SpaceX's Likely Merger, Portfolio Change

Tesla and SpaceX are increasingly integrated through Terafab, Optimus, Grok and Starlink, strengthening the case for a merger to pool…

TSLA $1.5T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 24 3 clicks

[ZTS] Zoetis could use a booster shot

Zoetis’ pet-drug blockbusters have shifted its mix from low-growth livestock medicines to durable companion-animal franchises with softer…

ZTS $30B

scuttleblurb Jun 29 6 clicks

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $90B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 2 clicks

Apollo and what even is private credit?

Apollo’s Marc Rowan argues private-credit risk depends on underwriting, seniority, leverage and diversification, not whether a bank or fund…

APO $68B

scuttleblurb Jun 19 2 clicks

Under The Hood - Rollins ($ROL)

Rollins ($ROL) pairs automatically renewing pest-control contracts with route density and family-business acquisitions, producing 24…

ROL $14B

Bearhold Research Jun 14 1 click

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 6 clicks

[VRSK] Verisk has standards

Verisk’s exit from healthcare, financial-services and energy data restored a pure-play insurance analytics model, but D.E.

VRSK $23B

scuttleblurb Jun 8 2 clicks