Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Today
From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Sam Altman said OpenAI’s revenue ramp is strengthening and its compute commitments may have been too conservative, a positive signal for OpenAI and Oracle.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Amkor at roughly $46 offers a 3 to 4 year setup built on scale, new capacity and advanced packaging demand, despite weak margins, ROIC and capital intensity.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@retaox The $CHTR broadband offering is much more competitively priced today due to tech upgrades, limited pricing increases in recent years, aggressive retention incentives, and investments into the video/wireless bundle.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Shorted a bunch of $AAPL and bought puts over last few days. Seems very overbought (was it a funding short?) and at a good level to find resistance. Edge AI models should ultimately be good for $AAPL, but company still has grossly mismanaged the AI opp and memory is a headwind.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Meta is bought around $590 to $600 despite heavy AI capex, on Reels engagement gains, ad-network tailwinds and AI-driven operating efficiencies.
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund year ended December 31, 2025 +22.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital 2022 Q4
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
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The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
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