Are Neoclouds Dead?
Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than hyperscalers.
Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than hyperscalers.
@Ron284Ron From obscure micro-cap to S&P 500 constituent. Impressive run, and for me the first time to see this happen. $TPL #noposition #sadly
Yes, $HELE just paid $225mm and levered up to buy a nail polish company. 11x EBITDA, when HELE trades at 7x. But don't worry, this will work out just great!
@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.
Today's Old Wall downgrade of $RH on liquidity risk is laughable. Reads like the analyst was fed a thesis by a hedge fund who's short the stock. I give 'em credit for making a bold call...it's just missing real clarity on RH liquidity and margin structure.
$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.
$CPRI only missed by $0.07 -- with EPS of $0.65. I was seriously bracing for earnings to come in closer to break-even given that nobody is running that company. Shows the resilience of margins at Kors. That brand is trading at 1-2x EBITDA, which is just nuts...
$LULU ripping today. Been short this since $470. But I think it's a better short today than it was back then. The stock doesn't know that margins are going to fall apart here. This story is going to end badly. Restructuring, mgmt fired. Badly... We're presenting a Black Book next Friday to outline why.
$CPRI is is fascinating on this sell off. When you do the math on a sale of Versace and Jimmy Choo (for 10-20% less than initial purchase price) it suggests that the Kors brand is trading at 1x EBITDA with the stock at $19. This market is throwing away the baby with the bathwater...
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