Bullpen.News · the best place to find stock ideas

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product showrooms.

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp 38m ago

3h ago SE $57B

Sea Limited (SE) Sea Cloud and Monee IPO

Sleep Well Investments 2 clicks

13h ago BMBL $783M

Bumble is being taken private

Modern Value Investing 6 clicks

From X

@HaydenCapital Apr 22

Fred Liu on X

It has to consolidate at some point, and already is this year. It's relatively easier to build vs ice cars (esp in China with robust supplier ecosystem). But hard to scale, differentiate, and distribute your products. Requires billions in funding. Btw, you see $LI making a bigger push overseas this year, because they're about to launch BEV in China. So these hybrid models are going abroad to countries with less developed charging networks, where hybrids are more practical. It's a way to keep production lines busy, and might even make higher margins due to lower competition abroad + higher prices.

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR

@HaydenCapital Apr 10

Fred Liu on X

Li Auto is launching in the Philippines (and likely rest of SE Asia). Pictures from yesterday, at Manila's SM Mall of Asia. $LI. Management has talked publicly about Middle East and Central Asia as initial markets, but don't think they've mentioned SE Asia before... According to the sales associate, their first store in BGC is opening end of April, with 3 more locations in following months. Seems the $LI overseas expansion is happening much faster than investors anticipate... L7 priced at 4-4.5M PHP, and L9 at 5-5.5M PHP (+50% more expensive than in China).

@catechwilliams Apr 9

catechwilliams on X

$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.

@HedgeyeRetail Apr 3

Brian McGough on X

Seriously considering going dark on $RH from a coverage perspective -- so I can buy it in my PA. The risk/reward here is unlike anything I've seen...

@HaydenCapital Apr 2

Fred Liu on X

Going thru Circle's $CRCL S-1. First pass, it seems Coinbase $COIN is best levered to Circle's $CRCL growth. USDC avg circulation grew +9% y/y in 2024, revenues grew +16%, but profits went down -42%. Mainly because payments to $COIN grew +31%. More and more USDC is held on Coinbase's platform, on which they get a "distribution fee" (18% of total supply vs. 8% in 2023, and vs. Circle's 2%). (The Aug 2023 contract renegotiation helped too. Also assumes continued preference holding USDC on Coinbase's platform). https://t.co/yoWLFOJg3X

@Adam_Wyden Mar 31

Adam D. Wyden on X

@JerryCap @AutumnCapital $PAR

Free Recaps of the best new stock ideas, delivered every morning.

Read past recaps

CoreWeave: It’s Not Dying, Not Anytime Soon

CoreWeave is compared with Amazon's early public years, when investors expected bankruptcy amid losses and dependence on outside capital.

CRWV $34B

Capitalist Letters 20h ago 17 clicks

Berkshire Put Bending Spoons On My Radar

Bending Spoons has spent about $10 billion on software acquisitions, including pending Miro, while Q2 organic growth was 3% and all…

BSP $29B

Jack Bowman 21h ago 2 clicks

Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM

Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…

SVM $2B

The Oak Bloke 27h ago 16 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $9.7B

CV's Substack 34h ago 28 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

MANE $5.3B

Cestrian Capital Research 37h ago 40 clicks

Heico Corporation

HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft replacement parts at 30% to 50% discounts to OEMs, gaining customers as restrictive aftermarket contracts…

HEI $42B

D Invests 43h ago 13 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Update - Accumulate, Record Backlog, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman posted 7% Q3 sales growth to $11.1 billion, lifted profit guidance and reached a record $109.6 billion backlog, led by…

NOC $73B

Cestrian Capital Research 43h ago 4 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $1.1B

Multiplo Invest 44h ago 12 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

CRWV $34BMYRG $4.4B

Monte Independent Investment Research 46h ago 8 clicks

Urban Outfitters: Nuuly Is More Valuable Than Its Margins Suggest

Urban Outfitters' Nuuly subscription service grew sales 28.6% and reached a 10.1% operating margin, with management targeting $700 million…

URBN $7.5B

IWA Research 47h ago 4 clicks

Group 1 Automotive: The Debt Stress Test

Group 1 Automotive’s $1.25 billion Atlanta borrowing lifts net corporate debt to about $4.4 billion; a 2009-style downturn leaves it near…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 20 12 clicks

NioCorp: The Market Is Paying About 50 Cents Above Cash For Elk Creek

NioCorp values Elk Creek at $72 million against a $3.44 billion after-tax NPV, with $1.849 billion of financing and execution risk still…

NB $455M

GT Research Oct 20

Copper Fox Metals: Research Flash

Copper Fox’s C$9.1 million Schaft Creek program advances metallurgical, tailings, water and road studies toward a pre-feasibility study,…

TECK $31B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 19 6 clicks

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the…

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman reports Q3 2026 on October 20 with a $105 billion backlog, up 16% year over year, and trades at 23 times trailing…

NOC $73B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 19 4 clicks

Nebius: The Pullback Strengthens The Case For An AI Infrastructure Champion

Nebius reported Q2 revenue growth of 454% and $3 billion ARR, targeting 5GW of AI capacity by 2030 after a Palantir partnership.

NBIS $46B

Salix Research Oct 19 14 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens ad…

APP $92BU $18B

Speedwell Memos Oct 19 66 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

Latest News

Fred Liu on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

Fred Liu on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

Fred Liu on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

Investor Letters

Recent recaps

Latest recap

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 54 of 245

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors