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Friday, November 13, 2026

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The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

AIG $43B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 2 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

It's been overwhelmingly negative recently, but here's some perspective on how supply-constrained demand from $LITE to $MU looks amid possible AI capex slowdowns. As one Korean executive on memory puts it: "Thirty people are already lined up at a restaurant that is full, and five of them leaving does not create a table." The amount of tables might expand, but supply shortages and price hikes in bottlenecks can persist through capex slowdowns or capacity buildout. From AI implications in medicine, physics, materials, robotics, cybersecurity, engineering, energy, to AI itself over the next 5-10 years... We've only reached the precipice of the next technological paradigm shift. The world is going to need a lot more compute.
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

I wanted to think about it for a bit before responding and time go away from me this week. I think NBCU makes a lot of sense as an acquisition for Netflix $NFLX given its size and the optionality it provides the company. However beyond the tax part, getting this deal through antitrust will not be easy and integration will be even harder given all the moving parts to an organization of NBCU's size and Netflix's current culture as a tech company. $LION is much easier tuck-in acquisition on both those fronts.

Investor Letters

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DB · long

Deutsche Bank AG

Deutsche Bank trades at 1.0x tangible book, with projected ROTCE above 13% and a favorable setup ahead of earnings.

DB $68B
Value Investors Club

The Offshore Message From Oslo

Offshore drillers have secured 105 rig-years by September, 42% above all of 2025, as national oil companies lock up long-term capacity.

RIG $5.9B
Cannibal Stocks 2 clicks

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $30B
Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

Vizsla Silver (VZLA)

Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…

VZLA $1.2B
Triple S Special Situations Investing 1 click

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