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Friday, November 6, 2026

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Post Q3 EVC Update

EVC's Q3 update cites $30 million for a single station, a broadcast-business sale and stronger positioning for 2027.

EVC $832M
Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 23 clicks

From X

@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$MNRO must buy all lubricants, non-lubes and service chemicals from Valvoline and can't market competing products. This is an in-depth partnership. Could there be a price increase? Sure, prices have already gone up this year quite a bit, but it won't be the price gouging type of supply that shops with no vendor will be facing. Two main points here. $MNRO is not in danger of running out of supply and if the price does increase, it won't be to the level of competitors without this type of relationship. I had a discussion with a manager at TiresPlus that points to exactly this. Prices so far this year have increased, but he said that the pricing he is getting from vendors he doesn't have a relationship with is multiples higher and he's going to have to pull the trigger with one of them within weeks.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Nice call - 100% agree! Having an exclusive retail partnership with Valvoline may make them even more attractive to a potential buyer now. Did you listen to the CEO speak last week? He know his stuff and they are already winning market share... What also makes this interesting is that not only does a sale to Mavis (who bought Pep Boys) make sense, but so does a piecemeal sale since $MNRO has very distinctive brands in different geographical locations.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Local oil change companies using vendors like Halron which get their supply from Shell are running out of OW-20 (includes Walmart / CostCo). Huge benefit to $MNRO who sources directly from Valvoline through an exclusive retail partnership. Soon places like TiresPlus, etc will have to implement massive price hikes that will drive market share for $MNRO. Really interesting situation especially since Ichan has economic interest of 33% in the company (16% share ownership / 16% swap agreement) and recently sold the inferior Pep Boys for a valuation that would price $MNRO at $25+. Now that Pep Boys has closed - wouldn't be surprised to see $MNRO get an offer very soon especially given their prime opportunity to take advantage of coming motor oil shortage.

Investor Letters

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GREAT DEC-TECTIVE WORK

Diversified Energy reported $255.6 million of “true” nine-month free cash flow, while its $1.8 billion Birch acquisition would shift…

DEC $900M
The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $333M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

BBW $371M
TSOH Investment Research 1 click
ONT · long

Onterris INC

Onterris, formerly Montrose Environmental Group, trades at 8.6x next-12-month EBITDA as an environmental consulting and response services…

ONT $739M
Value Investors Club 1 click
BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $790M
Modern Value Investing 8 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $472M
Trade Ideas Flow 21 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $371M
TSOH Investment Research 18 clicks

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