Monday, October 26, 2026

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed contracts, but 10 cannot do so today.

FRMI $1.6B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Oct 26 AMKR $9.1B

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 26 INTR $2.1B

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

Calvin Blissett 38 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats Oct 14 4 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Quickly back to very attractive levels to put back on short exposure on the software sector after the manic move in Q3 and digestion in September before the sudden crash up in the past 10 days..... AI wins software is in trouble - faster disruption more competition, pricing pressure AI trade is over, software is going to catch down as the market will tank and this won't sit that out (the are not cheap) Disruption and pricing is the tailwind, now valuation is too. Rates don't hurt either as up until recently these were considered long duration assets Recent results were status quo for most (no real acceleration) and pitch AI cohort growth as growing xx% but its not uplifting the total growth they are just changing what they charge for to show the street what it wants to hear) -- that phase is over, valuations are in many cases at year and multi year highs. SBC still a problem. Now comes renewals in the back of this year and thats where the issues will start to emerge on retention and pricing. An thats day 1 they will snowball overtime for the vast majority of these companies. Plenty of names to choose from: $PAYC $DOCU $TEAM $DDOG $PCTY $GDDY $RNG

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 14 4 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty mkt used to look 18 mos fwd & annualizing Q4 of a growing co would = a conservative look at where the stock should trade. Now unless it is beat & raise next Q nobody cares. Until they do. Whether $3.80 or $4.50 or '27 or '28 any reasonable mult gets a lot of upside for $LQDA

@irbezek Oct 14

Ian Bezek on X

@valuedrift It's been trading almost 1:1 with whatever has been going on with $ARKG/speculative bios bucket. But yes, intellectually you are correct.

@John_Hempton Oct 14 3 clicks

John_Hempton on X

@ShitFund I remember being on the opposite side of him on $OPEN.

@TimyanBankAlert Oct 14 2 clicks

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Thank you again for these great $WAL Pr calls, Bill https://t.co/pZo95YXpKI https://t.co/YbY03WulEx

@calvinblissett Oct 14 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

@ThothCapital @valuedontlie I would love to/can’t wait to read your $calm report

@DeepSailCapital Oct 14 3 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

Tags: $JACK $GPRN $CRMT $HTZ $RTB $ARQQ $BTQ $MNRA $RUM $GPRO $SWMR $EQPT

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 14 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@mbamcnulty Mark ILD @ $0. Assume $LQDA continues to + $20M in PAH revs per Q (Q3 was $30M) and @ YE'27 its annualizing ~$930M revs. At $1B they said "over 50%" would be FCF so call it $465M in normalized FCF or ~$4.50/share. Even very low multiples get you alot of upside in ~14 months.

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.1B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $6.5B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $709M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 65 clicks

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.1BINTR $2.1B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $45M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $13M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 3 clicks

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $13MSSTK $162M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

Digital Marketing Leader Klaviyo Deserves A Strong Buy

Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…

KVYO $5.8B

Fountainhead Oct 25 2 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 15 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $364M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 25 3 clicks

DGXX · short

Digi Power X INC

DGXX $241M

Value Investors Club Jul 28

Kingstone Company: Reduction In Reinsurance Will Improve Margins

Kingstone Company is replacing quota-share cessions with catastrophe reinsurance, lifting quarterly EBIT margin to 29% from a 24% sector…

KINS $290M

Given Mahlangu Oct 25 3 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.5BMQ $1.9B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 79 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.2B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $444M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.7B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.2B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 6 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 12 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Monday, October 26, 2026

Broken Moats on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Ian Bezek on X

John_Hempton on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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