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Monday, October 26, 2026

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The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed contracts, but 10 cannot do so today.

FRMI $1.9B
CV's Substack 16 clicks

From X

@StableBread 1 click

Fajasy on X

Boost Run $BRUN said on October 26 that it has closed "more than $600 million in non-dilutive project financing" so far in 2026. In my October 19 update, I said the stock depends less on demand than on whether $BRUN can finance the next ~$1B of GPUs without selling shares at beaten-down prices. The release also says: → $BRUN has established "a fully funded runway to accelerate customer deployments through the fourth quarter of 2026," with additional financing "proceeding as planned." → $BRUN delivered the first phase of a multi-phase project to "a leading AI research and product company," which matches its $471.7M May 2026 contract with Thinking Machines Lab (Mira Murati's AI startup). → Several more projects are "nearing hand-off in the coming weeks." → Founder and CEO Andrew Karos: "Customer payments exceed our debt payments every month." The $600M+ is YTD, and lessors funded $268.3M of new GPU leases in H1 2026 alone. So if those leases count toward the $600M+, $BRUN has closed more than $331.7M since June 30, about half to almost two-thirds of the $527-686M of new leases I estimated its H2 2026 build needs. The release doesn't say what the financing costs or how much of it closed since June 30. However, the Q3 10-Q, expected in mid-November, should disclose how much $BRUN leased in Q3 and at what rate. If the 10-Q confirms the $600M+, I'd drop the $62.2M stock sale from my bear case, and the question shifts from whether $BRUN can fund its build to what the new debt costs.
@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

Merion Road and Blue Hill are going activist at United Bancorporation of Alabama $UBAB, looking for board seats. They see UBAB at a key moment, needing better capital allocation, tighter expenses, and a clearer strategy. Still, the board hasn't acted on their proposals despite years of engagement. They're also looking for a $40m tender (~17% of the market cap). These guys hold just 2%, so UBAB basically replied, 'yeah, that's not going to happen,' but this ECIP winner could indeed do more.

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Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.1B
Bearstone 8 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $45M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $15M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 3 clicks
LZ · long

Legalzoom.com INC

LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.

LZ $1.1B
Value Investors Club

BSR REIT (TSX:HOM.U)

BSR REIT’s $618.5 million sale to AvalonBay valued Texas apartments near a 5% cap rate and removed consent rights that had constrained…

RETDF $4.4B
Real Assets, Real Value

Performance review: H1 2025

Abrdn European Logistics Income, Dream Residential and FrontView REIT returned 19%, 15% and 4% through June, with asset sales and strategic…

FVR $446M
Real Assets, Real Value

NL Industries

NL Industries’ $330 million market value is backed by $626 million of public stakes and cash, less estimated legal fees, creating a…

NL $337MCIX $436M
Sylence Capital

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