Monday, October 26, 2026

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed contracts, but 10 cannot do so today.

FRMI $1.6B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Oct 26 AMKR $9.1B

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 26 INTR $2.1B

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

Calvin Blissett 38 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 26 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

Whirlpool Plunges After Cutting Outlook For Third Time This Year $WHR https://t.co/nUQlDY6feL

@BarbarianCap Oct 26 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

One-Day Wipeout Tops 60% For the Hardest-Hit Brazilian Stocks $EWZ https://t.co/ncyMLXLg4H

@TimyanBankAlert Oct 26 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Dime's $DCOM $ESBS deal announcement takes back seat on earnings call | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/dtKhsgrEkp

@StableBread Oct 26 1 click

Fajasy on X

Boost Run $BRUN said on October 26 that it has closed "more than $600 million in non-dilutive project financing" so far in 2026. In my October 19 update, I said the stock depends less on demand than on whether $BRUN can finance the next ~$1B of GPUs without selling shares at beaten-down prices. The release also says: → $BRUN has established "a fully funded runway to accelerate customer deployments through the fourth quarter of 2026," with additional financing "proceeding as planned." → $BRUN delivered the first phase of a multi-phase project to "a leading AI research and product company," which matches its $471.7M May 2026 contract with Thinking Machines Lab (Mira Murati's AI startup). → Several more projects are "nearing hand-off in the coming weeks." → Founder and CEO Andrew Karos: "Customer payments exceed our debt payments every month." The $600M+ is YTD, and lessors funded $268.3M of new GPU leases in H1 2026 alone. So if those leases count toward the $600M+, $BRUN has closed more than $331.7M since June 30, about half to almost two-thirds of the $527-686M of new leases I estimated its H2 2026 build needs. The release doesn't say what the financing costs or how much of it closed since June 30. However, the Q3 10-Q, expected in mid-November, should disclose how much $BRUN leased in Q3 and at what rate. If the 10-Q confirms the $600M+, I'd drop the $62.2M stock sale from my bear case, and the question shifts from whether $BRUN can fund its build to what the new debt costs.

@BarbarianCap Oct 26

Barbarian Capital on X

JetBlue Shares in Tailspin as High Fuel Prices Threaten Turnaround $JBLU https://t.co/spn5aUcvVd

@TimyanBankAlert Oct 26

Timyan Bank Alert on X

@CorpusCol Speaking of pretty smart- These were spot on. $MNSB $SOUB $NEWT et al https://t.co/v0MLJnLLH3

@TheBenSchmark Oct 26 6 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Greenlight Capital expects $CENX to generate nearly its entire enterprise value in cash by 2028. They also think there are two additional call options: 1) the Oklahoma smelter incentive subsidy generates ~$225m of annual value 2) Iceland smelter can be sold for ~65% of EV https://t.co/3PncbpBn05 https://t.co/LIuAR4kRJ6

@John_Hempton Oct 26

John_Hempton on X

@hareng_rouge I am trying to encourage you to buy more $AMC. Please make me happy.

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.1B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $6.5B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $709M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 67 clicks

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.1BINTR $2.1B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 15 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $364M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 25 3 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.5BMQ $1.9B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 79 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.2B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $444M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.7B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

ENS · short

Enersys

EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.

ENS $6.3B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Market Leader in a Growing Industry Trading at 6x EBIT

Stride operates 89 virtual and blended public K-12 schools in 31 states and trades at 6x EBIT after an operational setback.

LRN $3.4B

Easy Value Jan 26

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

CNK $4.6B

Base Hit Investing Jan 25

Programmatic DSPs

Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…

EVC $575M

The Mikro Kap Jan 25 1 click

LandBridge: It’s the Pore Space Stupid!

LandBridge’s produced-water pore-space royalties, 69% of Q3 2025 revenue, offer durable value beyond its volatile Permian data-center…

LB $6.1B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 19 2 clicks

Pool Corporation "Undisputed Industry Leader"

Pool Corporation derives 65% of sales from maintenance and repair, while scale and acquisitions support a 40-50% share of pool supplies.

POOL $7.2B

D Invests Jan 15

Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank

Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.

GDOT $694M

Clark Street Value Jan 13 2 clicks

Telephone and Data Systems (TDS): The New TDS

Telephone and Data Systems, a $4.8 billion telecom holding company, is being reassessed after a decade of convoluted investor messaging.

TDS $4B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 7

Return of the Power King

China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…

CYD $878M

Maius Partners Jan 4 6 clicks

Contrarian Low-Cost Producer at a 15% FCF Yield + Excess Real Estate

California Resources (CRC) trades at a 15% FCF yield, owns roughly $80 per share of proven reserves and acquired Berry Petroleum at a steep…

CRC $4.8B

Base Hit Investing Dec 29

Monday, October 26, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

John_Hempton on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 64 of 258

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors