Monday, October 26, 2026

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during drawdowns.

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Oct 25 SIG $4.4B

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Cannibal Stocks 19 clicks

Oct 24 BLKB $2.4B

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 79 clicks

From X

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

At the RBC FIG Conference this week, a bank CEO referred to himself as "below average". His stock has compounded above 20% since 2017. I know he was being self-deprecating and trying to make the point that his employees were "above average", but it was still shocking to hear. A lot of CEOs with much worse stock performance think very highly of themselves. $OFG

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@AlphaVulture Dec 20

Alpha Vulture on X

Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 18

Brian McGough on X

We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.3B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.7B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.4B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 6 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 13 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 5 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $3.1BLAD $6.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 22 6 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp Oct 22 8 clicks

Webull: A 30% Annual Return Setup As Perpetual Futures Go Live

Webull expects perpetual futures and operating leverage to lift operating income from $114 million to nearly $400 million by 2030.

BULL $3B

PropNotes Oct 21 3 clicks

WRBY · long

Warby Parker

Warby Parker's $25 valuation does not capture potential upside from smartglasses alongside its core omnichannel eyewear business.

WRBY $3.1B

Value Investors Club Jul 28 3 clicks

Digital Marketing Leader Klaviyo Deserves A Strong Buy

Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…

KVYO $5.8B

Fountainhead Oct 25 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM

Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…

ACI $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 43 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $9.6B

CV's Substack Oct 20 28 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

MANE $6B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 41 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

MYRG $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 20 8 clicks

Urban Outfitters: Nuuly Is More Valuable Than Its Margins Suggest

Urban Outfitters' Nuuly subscription service grew sales 28.6% and reached a 10.1% operating margin, with management targeting $700 million…

URBN $7.9B

IWA Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Group 1 Automotive: The Debt Stress Test

Group 1 Automotive’s $1.25 billion Atlanta borrowing lifts net corporate debt to about $4.4 billion; a 2009-style downturn leaves it near…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 20 12 clicks

Ambarella: The Biggest AI Growth Opportunity Is Still Ahead

Ambarella's Q2 FY2027 revenue rose 13.2% to $108.1 million as automotive and IoT demand expands for its 5nm edge AI chips and X7…

AMBA $2.6B

Investor Overview Oct 20 8 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

RIG $7.4BVAL $7B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

Monday, October 26, 2026

Derek Pilecki on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Voss Capital on X

Alpha Vulture on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

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