Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.2BINTR $1.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Oct 25 SIG $4.4B

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Cannibal Stocks 20 clicks

Oct 24 BLKB $2.4B

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 81 clicks

From X

@HedgeyeRetail Apr 3

Brian McGough on X

Seriously considering going dark on $RH from a coverage perspective -- so I can buy it in my PA. The risk/reward here is unlike anything I've seen...

@Adam_Wyden Mar 31

Adam D. Wyden on X

@JerryCap @AutumnCapital $PAR

@catechwilliams Mar 11 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AVO calling out the fact that they have been overearning and margins reverting. “experienced normalization of our per unit avocado margins during in Q1.” Noted weak harvest anticipated in Mexcico. $CVGW will be even more adversely impacted by these factors.

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

BTW, his stock trades for 10x, posts an ROE of 17% while running with excess capital, and is part of a banking oligopoly in Puerto Rico. $OFG

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

At the RBC FIG Conference this week, a bank CEO referred to himself as "below average". His stock has compounded above 20% since 2017. I know he was being self-deprecating and trying to make the point that his employees were "above average", but it was still shocking to hear. A lot of CEOs with much worse stock performance think very highly of themselves. $OFG

@catechwilliams Mar 6

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.3B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $402M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 11 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.4B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 6 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 13 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 5 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

Western Digital, Penguin Solutions and Millrose Properties lead a roundup of 12 lesser-followed stocks featured from Oct. 10 to Oct. 16.

PENG $3.6BMRP $4B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 22 17 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $3.1BLAD $6.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 22 6 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM

Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…

ACI $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 43 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp Oct 22 8 clicks

BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $788M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

Webull: A 30% Annual Return Setup As Perpetual Futures Go Live

Webull expects perpetual futures and operating leverage to lift operating income from $114 million to nearly $400 million by 2030.

BULL $3B

PropNotes Oct 21 3 clicks

Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM

Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…

SVM $1.8B

The Oak Bloke Oct 21 27 clicks

Onto Innovation: Fall Buyers Rewarded With 2027 Growth

Onto Innovation's metrology, advanced-packaging and x-ray tools are expected to lift revenue and margins through 2027 as Dragonfly G5 and…

ONTO $9.9B

Off His Game Oct 20 2 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $9.6B

CV's Substack Oct 20 28 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

MANE $6B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 41 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $832M

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Brian McGough on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

catechwilliams on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

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