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Thursday, October 22, 2026

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@AsifSuria 1 click

Asif Suria on X

It is good to see the market recognizing that some of these SaaS companies like $ADBE, $NAVN, $ADSK and $CRM were oversold. My updated list of 62 software companies with insider buying can be found here in a tool that was built using Claude: https://t.co/ov9dxXgBid Here is some of what I wrote about the data in our July mid-month update a couple of week ago: "Industries in crisis provide fantastic opportunities if you are willing to wait patiently for some of the dust to settle and don’t mind temporary drawdowns as it is nearly impossible to pick bottoms. Earlier this year I started compiling a list of software and software-adjacent companies that were seeing insider buying after a massive drop in the price of their stock. I covered why this was important and included a list of 11 companies with insider buying in my article Where Are The Software Insiders? in February. Software-adjacent Companies What do I mean by “software-adjacent” companies? These are companies that have also seen their stock prices decline because of the perceived threat of AI to their business models. The list includes data providers like S&P Global $SPGI, MSCI $MSCI, and Morningstar $MORN. It includes e-commerce marketplaces like ThredUp $TDUP as well as the Latin America focused juggernaut MercadoLibre $MELI. It includes FinTech companies like SoFi $SOFI, PicS $PICS, PagSeguro Digital $PAGS, and StoneCo $STNE. I also decided to include cybersecurity companies like Palo Alto Networks $PANW and Gen Digital $GEN. Sixty Two Companies With Insider Buying The full list included 72 companies but I decided to get rid of five with a market cap below $500 million and another five whose gross margin was below 40%. The insider data is clean as a whistle because I reviewed every filing, read the footnotes and even adjusted the price of one purchase (Marqeta) to account for a reverse split. The buyback data specified in the Double Dipper column should also be good as I did several spot checks against 10Q and 10K filings. The rest of the data including valuation ratios and company metrics come from our data provider (FMP) and could have some issues. Several of these companies are foreign issuers (EPS reported in Brazilian reals but price reported in U.S. dollars), some went public within the last year and some ratios will be impacted by one-time items or growth from a tiny base. We have covered 18 of these companies in InsideArbitrage articles or newsletters"
@BrokenMoats 2 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Dispersion trade creating opportunities of fundamentals not matching price: $FDS now higher than the before SaaS (apocalypse) took off. Hard to argue they are not one of the most disrupted names across data services / software $PAYC $PCTY $WDAY - same challenges across software names and pricing / seat pressures. These names also face heavy increased competition from Rippling $EXPE - Hotels going direct has already started and OTAs should see supply pressure and take rate pressure $RNG - Does anyone legitimately believe they're an AI play? Agents don't need calls, don't need phones, and you don't need RNG to provide those agents - especially as every sb and up software provider and crm/erp Many others across software but also in financials, industrials and consumer
@convequity

Convequity on X

The complacency is the point. Gas-directed rigs are still only in the low-to-mid 120s and the trend remains essentially flat. Turbine lead times run 3–5 years and the major OEMs are already sold out into 2029–31. Data-center announcements are loud today, but the actual incremental gas draw from behind-the-meter and new generation does not hit the system until the turbines arrive and the sites come online. That lag is why the market can keep treating gas as abundant through 2026–27 even as the structural deficit builds. When the convexity shows up, it will likely arrive later and harder than most are pricing. $EQT, $AR, $CRK

Investor Letters

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Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B
Latticework by MOI Global 24 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B
Latticework by MOI Global 4 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $8.1B
CV's Substack 28 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

MYRG $4B
Monte Independent Investment Research 8 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $7.2B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.2B
CV's Substack 20 clicks

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