Thursday, October 22, 2026

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

PENG $3BMRP $3.6B

SA The Undercovered Dozen 27h ago 10 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

Webull: A 30% Annual Return Setup As Perpetual Futures Go Live

BULL $3.3B

SA PropNotes 47h ago 3 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

Urban Outfitters: Nuuly Is More Valuable Than Its Margins Suggest

Urban Outfitters' Nuuly subscription service grew sales 28.6% and reached a 10.1% operating margin, with management targeting $700 million…

URBN $7.5B

SA IWA Research Oct 20 4 clicks

COCO · short

Vita Coco Company INC

Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.

GPGI Inc.

GPGI, formerly CompoSecure, is David Cote’s $4.2 billion industrial acquisition platform, managed by Resolute Holdings for 2.5% of adjusted…

The Maintenance Capex Mirage at Americold ($COLD) and Lineage ($LINE)

Americold and Lineage face a cold-storage supply overhang, weakening rents and labor and power costs that pressure thin NOI margins and…

Linking RCM Technologies to a Multibillion-Dollar Hyperscale Buildout

RCM Technologies is providing engineering services to Cipher Digital, whose 3.4 GW contracted and pipeline capacity implies more than $20…

Our Q1 2026 Letter & Look Ahead: Oil, Iran, OXY & PTON

Open Square Capital’s Q1 2026 letter discusses the oil market, Iran, Occidental Petroleum and Peloton.

Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL

Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…

Hilton Grand Vacations ($HGV): 17 Years of Inventory on Hand That No One Is Questioning

Hilton Grand Vacations faces scrutiny over 17 years of inventory on hand, with the thesis calling for a short position.

Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?

Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…

Sirius XM (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Sirius XM grew 2025 free cash flow 24% to $1.26 billion as capex peaked, while companion plans revived subscriber additions and debt fell…

Bread Financial ($BFH): When You Outsource Everything Except the Downside

Bread Financial is a short thesis centered on outsourcing operations while retaining downside risk.