SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate
SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Adam D. Wyden on X
$DRVN
Derek Pilecki on X
@DavidBrail Doesn’t seem like they will. But, for the new bid to be worse than Trian’s $49/share cash bid, committee would have to assume $VCTR shares decline 45% to $36. That seems like an unreasonable assumption because Victory would then trade at a 3x P/E.
Porter Collins on X
@CorneliaLake 100% probability Geck rules against $SOC. It's going to be funny to watch
Derek Pilecki on X
New $VCTR bid for $JHG. In the slide deck, Victory says the deal will result in +50% accretion. 2027 EPS goes from $7.56 to at least $11.34. The combined company would trade at 6x 2027 EPS.
Psyop Capital on X
$OTCM beast of a quarter https://t.co/6h385yzu4x
Voss Capital on X
The Voss Q4 2025 Letter to Partners is up. Updates on $PAR, $FLYW, $CLBT, and new core idea $CHH, an asset light hotel franchisor that has rarely ever been cheaper. https://t.co/DTOoXGIN0M https://t.co/gjWBSHET4j
Voss Capital on X
Voss Capital Issues Open Letter to the Board of PAR Technology $PAR https://t.co/rxKYFAfK5C
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 GRAL $5.9BOVZON $376M
- White Brook Capital Third Quarter 2026 FUBO $914M
- Davenport Asset Management Q3 2026 ACM $7.7BBEPC $4.3B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.5BNCLH $7B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $354MUCTT $2.3B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $3.7BHAFN $5.6B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 NCLH $7BPGEN $2.3B
- Frank Capital Partners Q3 2026 SPB $1.8BHRB $6B
Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…
Glen Bradford 5 clicks
PesoRama: Research Flash
PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 16 clicks
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.
Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…
El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind
El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…
Pedro Goulart 1 click
SMWB · long Similarweb LTD
Similarweb (SMWB) is presented as a long, revisiting the company’s digital-intelligence business after two prior VIC write-ups.
Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount
Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…
Atlas Diary 3 clicks
SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Vicor Update, Part Two
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)
Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
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JabroniCoin.USD
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junkbondinvestor
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Kuppy
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marginofdanger
mavix
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Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
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- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
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