GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case
Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven growth.
Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven growth.
8/ $DOX pitch by Rewey Asset Management ~7x FCF for mission-critical telecom software priced like an AI casualty. Roughly two-thirds of Amdocs’ revenue comes from long-term managed services built around proprietary billing and customer-care systems that are risky to replace.
7/ $RMTI pitch by @MinotLightCap Potential $18–30/share vs ~$8. Rockwell supplies dialysis concentrates in an effective US duopoly and has finally turned FCF positive. At entry, ~$15m of net cash backed a ~$30m market cap, leaving the operating business valued at ~$15m.
$RMTI management targets ~$100m of revenue by 2030, potentially supporting $5-10m of FCF. Years of losses and a reverse split have left investors skeptical. Still illiquid and operationally fragile, but sustained cash generation could drive a substantial re-rating.
5/ $FOUR pitch by Emeth Value Capital Shift4 is an end-to-end payments platform dominating attractive verticals. It is the #2 US restaurant POS provider, serves ~40% of US hotels and processes payments for 75%+ of professional sports venues.
4/ $NAVI pitch by @gatorcapital Navient trades near 40% of TBV as the market treats its legacy student-loan portfolio as a melting ice cube. But private lending has returned to growth, with Q1 marking its first portfolio expansion since 2021.
@taobanker So they can reissue them at fire sale prices in the future to avoid bankruptcy. See American Airlines, circa 2015. $AAL https://t.co/mEfrPFACcY
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