TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)
Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.
Friday, October 16, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Barbarian Capital on X
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7
Myles on X
Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.
A Capital on X
@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift Without naming that which should not be named, it is interesting Mexico $EWW is up 1.3% today.
Farmer on X
Bought some $ABVX calls instead.
Farmer on X
@Biohazard3737 $ZURA price action makes me think retail accounts getting margin called. Unless pods are yolo'ing into @A_May_MD pitches too.
Colin King on X
Anyone have access to BofA downgrade on $DCH? I'm long and this is a pretty steep cut lol https://t.co/6mhk6JRqA8
Myles on X
Shorting a tiny bit of $RGR here on a post tender slide.
Investor Letters
All letters- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BNCLH $6.8B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MUCTT $2.5B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $4.1BHAFN $5.4B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 NCLH $6.8BPGEN $2.7B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 SPIIY $7.2B
- Frank Capital Partners Q3 2026 SPB $1.8BHRB $6B
- Jemekk Capital Management Q3 2026 MDA $4.7B
- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.8B
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 11 clicks
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.
Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…
El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind
El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…
Pedro Goulart 1 click
SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 1 click
BW · short Babcock & Wilcox
Babcock & Wilcox is priced for AI power demand despite a one-time related-party project, with FY2028 EBITDA 35% below consensus implying…
Research Roundup Vol. LIV
Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout…
Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy
The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…
Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases
Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…
Myriam Alvarez 2 clicks
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)
Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?
BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…
Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech
Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…
Blake Winiecki 1 clickPublications we follow
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
