TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)
Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.
Friday, October 16, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Barbarian Capital on X
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7
Myles on X
Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.
A Capital on X
@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift Without naming that which should not be named, it is interesting Mexico $EWW is up 1.3% today.
Farmer on X
Bought some $ABVX calls instead.
Farmer on X
@Biohazard3737 $ZURA price action makes me think retail accounts getting margin called. Unless pods are yolo'ing into @A_May_MD pitches too.
Colin King on X
Anyone have access to BofA downgrade on $DCH? I'm long and this is a pretty steep cut lol https://t.co/6mhk6JRqA8
Myles on X
Shorting a tiny bit of $RGR here on a post tender slide.
Investor Letters
All letters- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BNCLH $6.8B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MUCTT $2.5B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $4.1BHAFN $5.4B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 NCLH $6.8BPGEN $2.7B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 SPIIY $7.2B
- Frank Capital Partners Q3 2026 SPB $1.8BHRB $6B
- Jemekk Capital Management Q3 2026 MDA $4.7B
- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.8B
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 16 clicks
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.
Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…
El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind
El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…
Pedro Goulart 1 click
SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 1 click
ENS · short Enersys
EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.
Nomad Foods - The Yield Machine
Nomad Foods combines leading European frozen-food brands with a high dividend yield, buybacks and decade-low valuation, while private-label…
Call me crazy, I'm adding to a US apartment REIT
NexPoint Residential is being added despite weak multifamily performance, with insider ownership and a transaction-ready structure…
TIC Solutions: Thesis Check
TIC Solutions' NV5 merger lifted consulting and geospatial growth and margins, while its 52%-of-revenue inspection unit stayed flat after…
Shift4 Payments: A Fintech Compounder Trading Like a Melting Ice Cube
Shift4 Payments earns 50 to 60 basis points on SkyTab volume while acquiring merchant networks, driving 39% annual GRLNF growth since 2021…
✅ Buying AI Beneficiaries and Selling One AI-disrupted Business
Sleep Well Portfolio is selling SPS Commerce as AI-vulnerable and adding Veeva, Mercado Libre, Cellebrite and Sea, citing proprietary data,…
Hallador Pt. 2 — "Massive" Data Center Incoming in Sullivan, IN? ($HNRG)
Hallador’s 1 GW Merom plant could supply a proposed 1,000-acre Sullivan County data center, with local filings and Stantec references tying…
Theravance Biopharma: Failed Phase 3 Trial, Strategic Review
Theravance Biopharma began a strategic review after a failed Phase 3 trial.
The Green Dot Breakup: Grocery Money, Not Coffee Money
Green Dot’s breakup offers $8.11 cash plus 0.2215 BankCo shares, while GDOT’s $11.50 price implies a 0.55x tangible-book valuation for the…
Updates: TerraVest, Seaport Entertainment, XPEL (TVK.TO, SEG, XPEL)
Seaport Entertainment sold 250 Water St for $142 million and leased the loss-making Tin Building, while TerraVest’s Q1 cash EBIT margin…
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- 1 Main Capital
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
