TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)
Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.
Friday, October 16, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Barbarian Capital on X
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7
Myles on X
Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.
A Capital on X
@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift Without naming that which should not be named, it is interesting Mexico $EWW is up 1.3% today.
Farmer on X
Bought some $ABVX calls instead.
Farmer on X
@Biohazard3737 $ZURA price action makes me think retail accounts getting margin called. Unless pods are yolo'ing into @A_May_MD pitches too.
Colin King on X
Anyone have access to BofA downgrade on $DCH? I'm long and this is a pretty steep cut lol https://t.co/6mhk6JRqA8
Myles on X
Shorting a tiny bit of $RGR here on a post tender slide.
Investor Letters
All letters- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BNCLH $6.8B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MUCTT $2.5B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $4.1BHAFN $5.4B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 NCLH $6.8BPGEN $2.7B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 SPIIY $7.2B
- Frank Capital Partners Q3 2026 SPB $1.8BHRB $6B
- Jemekk Capital Management Q3 2026 MDA $4.7B
- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.8B
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 16 clicks
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.
Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…
El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind
El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…
Pedro Goulart 1 click
SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 1 click
LZ · long Legalzoom.com INC
LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.
Buyout Update for Hidden Rock Capital Names
RE/MAX’s $13.80-per-share Real Brokerage offer is capped at $80 million cash, implying roughly $11.40 of value at REAX’s $2.02 share price.
Why I Think This Stock is Worth 3x the Current Price
Insperity's healthcare-cost spike, $120 million technology expense and weak SMB hiring drove its 70% drawdown; normalized earnings could…
Single Stock Spotlight #7: XPEL, Inc. (XPEL)
XPEL's paint-protection-film sales accelerated to 13% growth in 2025 as inventory resets eased, with margin recovery targeted after…
Linking RCM Technologies to a Multibillion-Dollar Hyperscale Buildout
RCM Technologies is providing engineering services to Cipher Digital, whose 3.4 GW contracted and pipeline capacity implies more than $20…
Our Q1 2026 Letter & Look Ahead: Oil, Iran, OXY & PTON
Open Square Capital’s Q1 2026 letter discusses the oil market, Iran, Occidental Petroleum and Peloton.
Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL
Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…
Forgive me Father, I have Sabled.
Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…
Hilton Grand Vacations ($HGV): 17 Years of Inventory on Hand That No One Is Questioning
Hilton Grand Vacations faces scrutiny over 17 years of inventory on hand, with the thesis calling for a short position.
Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?
Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…
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