Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Oct 16 GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 17 clicks

Oct 16 BMBL $783M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 12 clicks

From X

@valuedontlie Sep 21 2 clicks

Colin King on X

$TPB starting to round trip here... way off its early 2026 highs haven't been following this since mid-2025, help me catch up on what's happening lately? https://t.co/HcsiMJXkuq

@ACapitalLP Sep 21

A Capital on X

$KBR even cheaper now. https://t.co/TrbW3Yw5S2

@junkbondinvest Sep 21

junkbondinvestor on X

AMC is refinancing essentially its entire debt stack at once: $2bn of bonds, an $850mn TL, and a $1.12bn 2L. 6 years ago (and for a few years after), this company was on the verge of bankruptcy, saved by meme stock equity issuance and flexible debt docs. Now it's pitching a refi on the back of a RECORD summer box office. Pricing will tell you how much of the rebound the market believes. $AMC $CNK

@TheBenSchmark Sep 21

JabroniCoin.USD on X

ROTE ⬆️ Costs and RWA ⬇️ Bursobank growing 7.1x forward earnings and 0.9x TBV I’m $GLE ful https://t.co/fFzBcgxp3d https://t.co/cfAa7GcsFl

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 21

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Nice call - 100% agree! Having an exclusive retail partnership with Valvoline may make them even more attractive to a potential buyer now. Did you listen to the CEO speak last week? He know his stuff and they are already winning market share... What also makes this interesting is that not only does a sale to Mavis (who bought Pep Boys) make sense, but so does a piecemeal sale since $MNRO has very distinctive brands in different geographical locations.

@valuedontlie Sep 21

Colin King on X

Wrote about this one recently and own some $MNRO shares + calls... Would be surprised if this isn't sold within next 12 months... https://t.co/ejb0AOkbQ5 https://t.co/g0WyapQYQg

@TheBenSchmark Sep 21

JabroniCoin.USD on X

I personally would slightly prefer if the $CENX Oklahoma smelter gets delayed or even cancelled, as it means more capital return, especially at today’s prices Can’t wait to see run-rate EBITDA in Q4 https://t.co/KTvGLbVKhp https://t.co/CD1XFwm9Eu

@red_dog_capital Sep 21

Red Dog Capital on X

Saw a post that "non-AI" stocks have nearly -1 corr to the market. What are some examples of good companies getting left behind by capital flows? Maybe $OTIS at 15x '17 P/E with ~80% of EBIT coming from elevator maintenance? Any other good ones with a 10 year time horizon?

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 43 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 14 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 13 clicks

TY · long

Tri-continental CORP

Tri-Continental Corp is presented as a long investment-grade fixed-income idea for portfolios with limited liquidity and diversification.

TY $1.8B

Value Investors Club Jul 18 2 clicks

Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn't Need A Rich Multiple

Kraft Heinz expects brand investment and productivity gains to restore sales growth and protect 2027 margins against 4-5% cost inflation.

KHC $28B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 15 1 click

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.5BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 44 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.6BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 14 6 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $34B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 14 8 clicks

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…

SHEN $544M

Phynvesting Oct 14 22 clicks

El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind

El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…

LOCO $499M

Pedro Goulart Oct 14 1 click

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

Friday, October 16, 2026

Colin King on X

A Capital on X

junkbondinvestor on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Colin King on X

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