October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
$BMBL looking past GAAP accounting like a 1x Owner's Earnings multiple, not shrinking fast, executing turnaround strategy and optimizing for quality over quantity. Founder back, paying off debt more than doubles the equity. Which the FCF says they can do. https://t.co/6byxo2vb8s
$JRVR ~4x multiple. Below adjusted book of circa $6.68 per share, activist, E&S is a good niche, mgmt rationalizing for economics. This one has messed up bad many times in the past and probably deservedly has a horrible reputation https://t.co/CD2VZ19KO0
$ARKO Trading below the value of it's stake in $APC, transferring to asset light business model, targeting 10% dividend https://t.co/kDZ2zPoIkm
$ADMA Profitable small cheap biotech with 3 FDA approvals accelerated stock repurchase plan https://t.co/jVbFVNKBA5
$FOUR
Stocks that need activists: $ATGN: Had yrs. to execute turnaround + monetize $FISV & new offerings. No buybacks/insider purchases. $PBSV: Yrs. of no growth + underutilized cash-rich balance sheet. Special divys are a start, but bought back only 4K shares this yr. Any others?
Joke Of The Week award goes to $UPXI👇 Year end “highlights” from press release: - Repurchased 2.9M shares. - Subsequent to fiscal year-end, issued 2.5M shares under the company’s at-the-market program. Punch line: Now that’s what capital allocation looks like baby!
@LogicalThesis $MXCT ?
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…
Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…
Cognex expects 15% revenue growth this year as its RealSense acquisition expands machine-vision exposure to robotic perception, logistics,…
Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…
Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
Virtu Financial’s resilient trading income, double-digit EPS growth forecasts and forward-earnings valuation support an upgrade despite…
H&R REIT's proposed GO Residential transaction faces investor opposition over rejected $12.50 cash bids, insider benefits and tax…
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…
Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…
Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier…
Brazil Potash has secured court support and a power agreement, but financing, dilution and potash-price-sensitive EBITDA remain central…
Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…
Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…
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