Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 86 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 18 clicks

Oct 13 SBDXF $498M

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

Cannibal Stocks 7 clicks

From X

@John_Hempton Sep 27

John_Hempton on X

@ChrisAngelini11 @AFMBlog @GameStopKing @trvsrdrgz2 probably, but I have not held $AMC down 99 percent.

@calvinblissett Sep 27 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

This is why X is awesome! Check out this writeup on $BMBL that outlines the worst case scenario well and how the stock could still work. “I like to look down before looking up when I invest” -Joel Greenblatt https://t.co/9O6qmH9QdS

@John_Hempton Sep 27

John_Hempton on X

yes I am a miserable fuck. There are several things I like. I like that hedge funds bought $AMC debt at pennies on the dollar. I like that Apes kept buying $AMC as the stock count 20x - and the money went to hedge funds. I like that Apes have thus lost a lot of money to make hedge fund managers richer. And I will especially enjoy it when $AMC eventually fails. Now you know what makes me happy.

@valuedontlie Sep 26

Colin King on X

To $FOUR credit, they've already been buying back lots of stock and recently killed the Up-C structure (which are terrible) https://t.co/0kRHGBybWV https://t.co/BBTKz873dC

@AltayCapital Sep 26 2 clicks

AltayCap on X

The only industries where obvious capital allocation lingo is useful is leasing / banking / insurance. It's much more nebulous in operating businesses that do real things. $AER ceo saying the cheapest commercial jets are on the NYSE under the ticker AER is easy to understand. As math is pencilling out cost of new orders vs buying back stock. $FOUR competes in the real world. Leasing/banking products are fungible. Much harder biz to forecast. Cap allocation is still important, but a lot harder.

@Fierce__beast Sep 26 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

@theotheraharon But i'm looking for ideas that have been specifically impacted by the degrossing event. Not sure $MXCT or $RARE are correlated to that. The idea is find stocks that are irrationally selling off or getting bid due to the degrossing, then pick your spots from the list you find.

@Fierce__beast Sep 26 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

@JJNews002 bought a little of it too $ABVX

@Fierce__beast Sep 26 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

What are people buying and selling in this apparent biotech degrossing phase? I am looking given the irrationality of the situation and the temporary opportunities it may present on both sides of the ledger. $XBI recent returns seem driven by two stocks $MRNA and $TWST. I shorted small size some $CDNA, $MRVI. Long $ACAD, $UTHR and $CELC. Are these completely idiotic ideas?

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $8.9B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 4 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 9 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 8 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $6BMBC $1.4B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 9 clicks

Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…

FLO $1.3B

Value Don't Lie Oct 12 8 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $3.1B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Jumping On The Robotics Train: Initiating Buy On Cognex

Cognex expects 15% revenue growth this year as its RealSense acquisition expands machine-vision exposure to robotic perception, logistics,…

CGNX $9.6B

Fountainhead Oct 12 2 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3.5B

Investor Overview Oct 12 5 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $382M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

Virtu Financial: A Buy The Dip Moment For Market Maker With Proven Durability (Rating Upgrade)

Virtu Financial’s resilient trading income, double-digit EPS growth forecasts and forward-earnings valuation support an upgrade despite…

VIRT $8.8B

Albert Anthony Oct 13 2 clicks

H&R REIT, an opportunity in a corrupt process

H&R REIT's proposed GO Residential transaction faces investor opposition over rejected $12.50 cash bids, insider benefits and tax…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Oct 12 2 clicks

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…

FNMA $4.2B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 5 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3B

Capitalist Letters Oct 11 7 clicks

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier…

HIPO $931M

Substack von Philipp Oct 10 8 clicks

Brazil Potash: Bull Case Is Starting To (Slowly) Bloom

Brazil Potash has secured court support and a power agreement, but financing, dilution and potash-price-sensitive EBITDA remain central…

GRO $130M

Wolf Report Oct 10 3 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9 1 click

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…

HY $524M

Calvin Blissett Oct 9 3 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

John_Hempton on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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