October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
$ASIC has significantly outperformed its more loftily valued peer, Kinsale, by 42% YTD. With Excess and Surplus activity continuing to slow, however, I think Ategrity is no longer the value setup it once was and I've taken profits on the ASIC leg of the trade. https://t.co/X0GyGmL414 https://t.co/IngDuCC0H8
Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA
Selling low vol international stuff and buying risk and rate exposure today (with some hedging using $ANGL, $SMH and $QQQ). Purely a sentiment and positioning thesis. Historically I've been too cautious in these sorts of dislocations so im trying something new.
Perella Weinberg combining with Piper Sandler is one of those headlines that would have sounded impossible to a banking analyst in 2010. $PWP $PIPR https://t.co/bpmLDTuepn
@PythiaR I think $SRPT is the undisputed king in this regard, at least over a full career. https://t.co/fOpmysh4yC
@Menckenist What good real estate does $SGA own?
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…
Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…
Cognex expects 15% revenue growth this year as its RealSense acquisition expands machine-vision exposure to robotic perception, logistics,…
Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…
Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
Virtu Financial’s resilient trading income, double-digit EPS growth forecasts and forward-earnings valuation support an upgrade despite…
H&R REIT's proposed GO Residential transaction faces investor opposition over rejected $12.50 cash bids, insider benefits and tax…
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…
Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…
Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier…
Brazil Potash has secured court support and a power agreement, but financing, dilution and potash-price-sensitive EBITDA remain central…
Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…
Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…
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