October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs
$KYIV https://t.co/bGd6IJ4Xl0
$DJT Downside still 100% from here https://t.co/6YIEeHfC3e
@secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty mkt used to look 18 mos fwd & annualizing Q4 of a growing co would = a conservative look at where the stock should trade. Now unless it is beat & raise next Q nobody cares. Until they do. Whether $3.80 or $4.50 or '27 or '28 any reasonable mult gets a lot of upside for $LQDA
Thank you again for these great $WAL Pr calls, Bill https://t.co/pZo95YXpKI https://t.co/YbY03WulEx
@ThothCapital @valuedontlie I would love to/can’t wait to read your $calm report
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…
Cognex expects 15% revenue growth this year as its RealSense acquisition expands machine-vision exposure to robotic perception, logistics,…
Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…
Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…
Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…
Glaukos is expanding from glaucoma devices into sustained drug delivery and corneal cross-linking, but GKOS's premium valuation leaves…
Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…
Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…
KRYS · short Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…
Portfolio update sells Amazon, adds Floor & Decor, and projects 6.5% annual market returns, with a base case of negative 0.89% from…
Crocs raised 2026 EPS guidance to $13.20-$13.75 and bought back $73.6 million of stock, while Huntsman, Pitney Bowes and Alpha…
Floor & Decor cut 2026 guidance after 1Q same-store sales fell 3.7%, while shrinking new-store formats, cutting comparable-store SG&A and…
GPGI, formerly CompoSecure, is David Cote’s $4.2 billion industrial acquisition platform, managed by Resolute Holdings for 2.5% of adjusted…
Americold and Lineage face a cold-storage supply overhang, weakening rents and labor and power costs that pressure thin NOI margins and…
RCM Technologies is providing engineering services to Cipher Digital, whose 3.4 GW contracted and pipeline capacity implies more than $20…
Open Square Capital’s Q1 2026 letter discusses the oil market, Iran, Occidental Petroleum and Peloton.
Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…
Hilton Grand Vacations faces scrutiny over 17 years of inventory on hand, with the thesis calling for a short position.
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