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Tuesday, October 13, 2026

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@BrokenMoats 4 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Anyone have any suggestions how Muse and Grokbot and more versions to come of agent personal assistants is bullish of communication stocks like $RNG and $FIVN? Took out some of the intermediary businesses like $EVER and some pressure on $EXPE earlier in the day but seems next level is EXPE, some of the insurance brokers, and then phone communication systems seem at the top of losers from changing engagement and channels for B2C and B2B comms
@majgeoinvesting

Maj Soueidan on X

Absolutely right. And here’s why I like the CEO of $RFIL. He’s not touting “hypescalers” in his major TAM. He thinks some benefit will partly arise from the need for edge solutions because of data centers. He’s very quick to say that the opportunities are big in other areas. In my interview with him at the @MSmicrocaps 2026 virtual, I made sure to ask him how penetrated the telecom DAC opportunity was. He said barely. Will be interesting to fact check that, but that means the opportunity is pretty big and wide open. Back on the subject of data centers, I’m also hearing that modular data centers are finally gaining momentum. So, even though RFIL would not have a solution for hyperscalers, I’d presume they can have some presence in the modular business.
@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

2 questions: How come there are no institutional owners of this business (small cap fundamental funds, not the two ETF asset aggregators)? Whats the right multiple for a business that has burned 20m in FCF YTD (isolating SBC as it may not be a "cash" cost but is dilutive) on 45m in gross profit? Legitimate question? 4.4x ev/sales does not say cheap to me looking at their financial profile or where more asset light businesses are taking currently The history of these type of CapX security companies has been rather poor. Look at $SSTI and theres been others in the small cap space. Maybe this one's different I have only briefly looked at the business a few times over the years.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

What makes $MNRO even more interesting is that short interest is ~22.5% of shares outstanding and 41% of the float as not only does Icahn have ~32% of shares tied up, but Gabelli (GAMCO) is also involved. This is probably why cost to borrow is so cheap. Shorts are betting on a dividend cut, but completely ignoring the fact that Icahn/Gabelli and others have 40%+ of the shares. Icahn is now flush with cash from the sale of Pep Boys to Mavis. He can either offer similar terms for $MNRO and buy the remaining shares for $25/share and come away with a superior asset vs Pep Boys or he can push for a sale of the entire company at a similar price or even more. Poison pill expires November 6th... going to get interesting. If there ends up being a proxy battle then all of these shares would have to be called back which would significantly increase short borrowing costs....

Investor Letters

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Namib Minerals: Research Note

Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.

NAMM $55M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 3 clicks

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $428M
Stock Thoughts 3 clicks
BW · short

Babcock & Wilcox

Babcock & Wilcox is priced for AI power demand despite a one-time related-party project, with FY2028 EBITDA 35% below consensus implying…

BW $708M
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

Solid Power Still Has Promise

Solid Power reported a $0.11 Q2 loss and $419.3 million of cash, with its electrolyte pilot line and BMW and SK On validation central to…

SLDP $473M
Quad 7 Capital 2 clicks

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $606M
The Mikro Kap 5 clicks

Zentek Research Note

Zentek shipped its first ZenGUARD air-filter order to a Canadian federal facility as its Albany graphite PEA confirmed a US$3.85 billion…

ZTEKF $58M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 1 click

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