New Position (ONON): Game is On
On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S. consumer weakness and China growth.
Tuesday, October 6, 2026
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Barbarian Capital on X
$PM $BTI $MO U.S. Regulators Plan Major Move to Speed Authorizations of Vapes, Tobacco Pouches https://t.co/aaQ7DSzIvP
Barbarian Capital on X
Grail’s Multi-Cancer Blood Test Gets FDA Committee Vote for Premarket Approval $GRAL https://t.co/bdcNEQtgT5
Barbarian Capital on X
Activist Starboard Urges Construction Company to Explore Sale $KNF https://t.co/SaDmClimTV
Barbarian Capital on X
Barry Diller Withdraws Bid for MGM Resorts $MGM https://t.co/2iXlXJ49gY
Barbarian Capital on X
$CROX is the footwear for historic moments https://t.co/BWIcDcD92J
junkbondinvestor on X
Update on Loparex, the loan Blue Owl marked from 88 to 5 cents in just 8 months. The restructuring is now set. $OWL's entire ~$160mm 2L gets wiped out for a small piece of equity. Monarch and General Atlantic take control after buying the 1L at distressed prices earlier this year. Looks like the 5 cent mark in June was close to right. The question was always why it was 88 six months earlier...
Red Dog Capital on X
@dalibali2 Same for $AMZN. Controlling the front end isn’t going to replace low prices (scale) and fast delivery speeds (unmatched physical network).
A Capital on X
This non-circumvent is very good for $FSLR which is now < $200… https://t.co/Tc3GXdZRLk
Investor Letters
All letters- Vltava Fund 3/2026 AMZN $2.7TATDRF $3.7B
- Cedar Grove Capital Management Q3 2026 ABVX $7.6BAXON $34B
- Protean Funds September 2026 DSV $42BNTOIF $28B
- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd August 2026 MSLOF $15B
- Guinness Global Investors August 2026 AFL $57BCRM $183B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.7B
Deep Dive: Intuit ($INTU)
Intuit’s $21.4 billion software franchise faces AI-driven pricing pressure in tax and accounting, even as QuickBooks and TurboTax retain…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…
Uber: Mispriced Growth Hiding In Plain Sight
Uber’s valuation is framed as undervaluing ride-hailing and robotaxi growth, while record institutional ownership offsets concerns over…
The J Thesis 3 clicks
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test
Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…
Dynatrace, Inc. (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE To Bank Rangebound Gains.
Dynatrace is rated Distribute after a 90% rally to $60.21 nears $62 resistance, while revenue and RPO growth decelerate ahead of November…
Why Nebius Is Getting The Better End Of The Deal From Palantir
Nebius gains preferred sovereign infrastructure status for Palantir’s enterprise AI stack, using its customer base to accelerate modular…
Petri Dish Reports 3 clicks
Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months
Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.
Canterra Minerals: Research Note
Canterra Minerals increased Lundberg indicated tonnage 55% to 26.1Mt, with 226.2Kt of contained copper equivalent, supporting a Buchans…
Kenorland Minerals: Research Flash
Franco-Nevada bought 10.0 million Kenorland shares, a 12.4% stake, for C$22.2 million in a secondary transaction that issued no new shares.
The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale
GFL Environmental’s take-private bids reportedly fall within $50 to $55, with a top-of-range offer likely needed to secure shareholder…
IBIT · long Ishares Bitcoin Trust Etf
IShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is presented as a high-conviction Bitcoin position with attractive risk-reward.
The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute
CoreWeave’s compute-selling economics face a narrowing margin of safety if new capacity closes today’s AI supply-demand gap.
Portfolio Update September 2026
Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.
Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom
Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.
Marc Gerstein 2 clicks
Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI
Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…
Meta And Alphabet Will Beat OpenAI And Anthropic
Meta and Alphabet can fund AI with core profits, proprietary data and in-house infrastructure, giving META and GOOG pricing and…
Cain Lee 2 clicks
NVIDIA SERIES | PART 1 : Jensen's Math and the Blackwell Gap: Dies, Chips, GPUs, and Revenue
Nvidia’s Blackwell GPU rollout created an AI compute oversupply after customers preordered millions of chips amid expected shortages.
Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties
Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…
Timur Mekhantev 4 clicks
British American Tobacco: Harvest
British American Tobacco’s U.S. reset revives combustibles and rebuilds its nicotine-pouch portfolio after legacy-brand writedowns and Velo…
Practical Parametric Yield
Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…
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