Sunday, October 4, 2026

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of debt.

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

Oct 2 MRP $3.8B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

Oct 2 IRDM $5B

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@red_dog_capital Sep 30

Red Dog Capital on X

$LOGC victory lap...2x in ~15 mo. More room to run as they continue to buy highly-moated assets w/pricing power and pay no tax for decades due to the NOLs. 10+ year compounder. David Abrams agrees. Stock will probably fade some post the rights ($9 rights). ~25x '27 FCF today

@BrokenMoats Sep 30

Broken Moats on X

Someone really should investigate the price action into some of these ancillary biotech stocks.....very reminiscent of a certain Situational Awareness with chip stocks earlier in the year. No one is filing ownership and yet these stocks push higher regardless of macro, or geopolitical news or the overall index moves. Someone with swaps? or options likely at play then using the momentum pf retail and algos to add to the bid. The trade is melting up perfectly to the end of the quarter (not surprised to see them even more aggressively up today than usual to mark performance). We saw this with the chips trade after an unprecedented April-June. But some of the moves with this trade exceed that euphoria (Look at $TXG, $TWST, $SDGR, $RGEN, $GRAL, and a host of other companies)........DO we see the similar move after a giant quarter with a reversal to kick of the next quarter, that was the fate with chips and caused the fund to blow up. Be interesting to see if they learned any lessons, Im guessing not based on recent performance, and if it is a different player the strategy looks the same. These companies need financing and should hit the market bid which is what set off Viacom and was the undoing of Bill Huang in 2021. Lets see, but a basket of these stocks looks interesting at current levels sometime today for gravity/secondaries to come early in Q4

@TimyanBankAlert Sep 30

Timyan Bank Alert on X

$CBNK merging into $PEBO https://t.co/PBhnl65UhD

@KEDM_COM Sep 30

KEDM.com on X

TIM Brazil $TIMS3.BZ / $TIMB will be buying back ~55m shares over the next 18 months. Not a huge buyback (2.3% of s/o), but this one is notable because s/o have been roughly stable since, what, 2014? Also, the stock is down 40% from ATH over the past few months while TIM keeps growing. We saw something very similar in 2024 (the price action, not the buyback), with the shares moving +100% the following year.

@valuedontlie Sep 30

Colin King on X

$CALM down ~8% pre-market on 1Q27 results Likely another few quarters til cycle turn (?), balance sheet still rock solid, minimal buybacks, dividend is variable so no payout when losing money $55/sh BV (~$50 TBV) vs. $63 pre-market = 1.15x P/B https://t.co/Xx0kmu7j66

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 30

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$PBI https://t.co/MFR4Wes8aM

@irbezek Sep 30

Ian Bezek on X

Since multiple people have pinged me this. Cancun is not Tulum. They are 100km apart. The prior socialist government built the Tulum airport in part to screw with us $ASR Cancun concession holders. We want Tulum to fail. Cancun hotel occupancy remains in the mid-50s. https://t.co/4hb7GRGGZO

@ACapitalLP Sep 30

A Capital on X

Obvious shitcos: $RR $ASPI $TMC $GLND $ALOY $EOSE

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.3B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.2B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Ladder Capital: Grab This Diversified, Investment-Grade Mortgage REIT At Below Book Value

Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…

LADR $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 1

BV · long

BrightView Holdings

BrightView Holdings' 2.5-year turnaround has returned organic growth, with 30-50% stock upside tied to market confidence in the inflection.

BV $971M

Value Investors Club Jul 6 3 clicks

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.3B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $634M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

QMCO $1.1B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

LeMaitre Vascular: The Q2 Miss Hides A Stronger Acquisition Machine

LeMaitre Vascular’s shift to larger acquisitions lifted its success rate to 80% and gross margin to 72%, supported by $376 million of cash…

LMAT $1.9B

Bruno Montoya Amador Oct 1

NASDAQ:YB 10% dividend, 2x P/E, 30% growth, AI beneficiary, secular tailwinds, founder CEO I think is as good as Bezos/Walton

Yuanbao pairs a 10.2% dividend and cash exceeding its market value with 33.5% first-half profit growth from AI-enabled Chinese insurance…

YB $561M

Calvin Blissett Sep 30 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture And More

Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture and nine other lesser-covered stocks make up Seeking Alpha’s Undercovered Dozen.

RYN $5.5B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 30 4 clicks

3 Mergers and 1 Liquidation in the Danger Zone

Stratus Properties liquidates Austin real estate below projected distributions, while Atlantic Lithium and Intermex await approvals for…

IMXI $376M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 30

Research Roundup Vol. LIV

Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout…

AAON $7.2BKNF $2.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 30

Red Dog Capital on X

Broken Moats on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

KEDM.com on X

Colin King on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Ian Bezek on X

A Capital on X

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