Research Roundup Vol. LIV
Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I know you were not talking to me. But I hope you buy more $AMC anyway.
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I am not mad about you buying $AMC. I have tried to encourage it. Please buy more.
Deep Sail Capital on X
@P_Remarks $THEON $DLO $TOI.NE
SG on X
Happy $MKTW dividend day for those who celebrate ( $PAGS $EVC too)
SG on X
@grok compare the revenue $RGTI has earned ytd with the proceeds of $RGTI insider stock sales ytd
Myles on X
@ArgonathCapital Yeah Nice Info services and Misto (paired with a $GOLF short) are large positions for me.
Deep Sail Capital on X
Short Report Review: $EQPT - Blue Orca @blueorcainvest https://t.co/YigE14K6Rw
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Smead Capital Management 2Q26 SCR $5.8BTVE $4.4B
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
FOUR · long Shift4 Payments INC
Shift4 Payments trades at roughly 5 times a $7.50 2029 free-cash-flow-per-share estimate after stock compensation.
This Week in Special Situations: Abercrombie, PagSeguro, Vodafone
Special-situations survey profiles 31 activist, buyback, M&A and strategic-review cases, including Abercrombie, PagSeguro and Vodafone.
Enlight Renewable Energy: Impressive Growth Has Cast Its Shadow Too Far
Enlight Renewable Energy’s debt- and tax-equity-funded expansion cannot justify the growth embedded in its valuation, yielding a $60.17 DCF…
Sorin Muraru 
Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook
Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…
MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position
MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…
Who Really Runs Tidewater (TDW)?
Tidewater CEO Quintin Kneen’s 2024 stock trades and board activity follow GulfMark’s bankruptcy, Tidewater’s merger and TDW’s 485%…
Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year
Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…
The Bullionaire 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Tidewater (TDW): The $225,000 Boat They Laughed At Built the Biggest Fleet on Water
Tidewater’s 200-vessel offshore fleet trades at 40% of replacement cost as the global orderbook sits at 4% of supply, versus 34% last cycle.
StandardAero: Largest Independent Aerospace Engine Aftermarket Firm
StandardAero’s exclusive engine licenses and LEAP aftermarket position underpin a projected rise in LEAP revenue from $100 million in 2025…
Publications we follow
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Blogs 12
Seeking Alpha 41 of 198
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Petri Dish Reports
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catechwilliams
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Clark Square Capital
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Connor Haley
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Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
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JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
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SG
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
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- FPA Crescent Fund
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- Gabelli Funds
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
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- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Polaris Capital Management
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- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
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- Wedgewood Partners
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- White Falcon Capital Management
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