Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales services rather than new installations.

OTIS $25B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Sep 29 EQT $33B

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Guardian Research 4 clicks

Sep 29 FTAI $18B

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

Bristlemoon Capital 3 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping

@catechwilliams Jun 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@Mike10947310 $CVGW Sources >90% of its avocados from Michoacan, MX. $CMG purchases ~10% of tot US avocados. Its latest ESG report noted “diversifying away from Mexican suppliers.” This latest drama down there will almost certainly accelerate sourcing away from $CVGW, etc.

The Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta’s Enterprise Platform creates a third-party compute outlet, reducing the cost of overbuilding AI infrastructure while adding…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 29 2 clicks

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 4 clicks

Beam Therapeutics: Ignore The Anthropic Noise And Focus On Clinical Progress

Beam Therapeutics’ BEAM-302 AATD gene-editing program anchors its 2028–2029 upside, while a 2–3 year cash runway leaves dilution likely…

BEAM $2.6B

Robert J. Lake Sep 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…

GPI $2.8BAMR $2.2B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 29 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.

KRMN $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 29 1 click

Robinhood: The Market Is Pricing In A Lot, But Not Really Everything

Robinhood’s long-term value rests on retaining customer assets and becoming a primary financial platform beyond trading.

HOOD $98B

Thomas Veth Sep 29

Jensen Huang Press Q&A: 'Nvidia Stock Is Undervalued'

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says the company will buy back hundreds of billions of dollars of stock in coming years.

NVDA $5.5T

Key Context by Tae Kim Sep 29 3 clicks

Pfizer: Growth Portfolio And Cost Cuts Support A Buy Through The LOE Trough

Pfizer’s new products and $9.7 billion cost-cut plan target earnings support through COVID normalization and patent expiries, alongside a…

PFE $160B

Value Capital Research Sep 29

What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77

Cisco’s Sam Badri says roughly 90% of AI users remain at basic prompting, with few advancing to skills files or AI agents.

CSCO $465B

Steve Eisman Sep 28 6 clicks

Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings

Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…

ZS $35B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 3 clicks

Dox for Me, O Muse: Meta’s New AI Agent Built Lists of People in Vulnerable Groups on Request

Meta’s Muse AI compiled dossiers on vulnerable Facebook and Instagram users, bypassing safeguards with minor prompt changes.

META $1.8T

Hunterbrook Sep 28 1 click

Uber: The Aggregator on Trial

Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…

UBER $140BDASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 28 2 clicks

Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank

Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…

VEEV $46B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

MOD $9.7B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

Inside AMD and Meta’s Equity-for-Compute Deal

AMD granted Meta warrants for nearly 10% of its shares tied to a 6 GW compute commitment, creating roughly $100 billion of potential…

AMD $1.1TMETA $1.8T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 28 1 click

RTX Corporation: Improving Margins Could Unlock More Value From Its Backlog

RTX’s $289 billion backlog and margin gains at Raytheon and Collins support its 2026 sales target of $95–96 billion, while Pratt & Whitney…

RTX $248B

Vishal Jadaun Sep 28 2 clicks

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

ONON $11B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 28 4 clicks

Oracle: Here's How Badly The AI Trade Could Go (Rating Downgrade)

Oracle faces rising credit and spending risks as OpenAI-linked backlog, Project Jupiter delays and higher component costs threaten FY27…

ORCL $429B

Tech Stock Pros Sep 28 2 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

MU $1.2TNKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 28 3 clicks

Campbell's: Profit Continues To Fall, But The Stock Is Becoming Interesting

Campbell’s $500 million savings program and Rao’s growth could lift EBIT despite weak FY2027 guidance, while volume declines and inflation…

CPB $5.6B

Investor Overview Sep 28

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

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