Toll roads in the sky
Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales services rather than new installations.
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Back to today 
From X
SG on X
Good report from $BULL. I remain long and may add. https://t.co/mvOiOAN83t
Mike on X
@mathlonning $SIF especially, I thought the Q was good
BDC on X
@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.
Ian Bezek on X
@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.
Pernas Research on X
Nothing decays faster than borrowed conviction…… $CEPL melt up then sell off https://t.co/yD9uwh2wdD
Broken Moats on X
$mrna secondary coming in 21.05 minutes
Colin King on X
$FOUR Wrote about this one recently… seems like an interesting roll-up with a story that’s getting less complex (former Up-C structure) https://t.co/CV5VPUekSL https://t.co/llyNFPKqsD
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd August 2026 MSLOF $15B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. August 2026 TGMPF $187MVHI $332M
- Forager Funds Management August 2026 BVSFF $929MEMCHF $64M
- Guinness Global Investors August 2026 AFL $56BDBOEY $59B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5BSUSRF $260M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.7B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $14BTKOMY $92B
Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy
The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…
Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases
Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…
Myriam Alvarez 3 clicks
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)
Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Robinhood: The Market Is Pricing In A Lot, But Not Really Everything
Robinhood’s long-term value rests on retaining customer assets and becoming a primary financial platform beyond trading.
Thomas Veth 1 click
Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…
Uber: The Aggregator on Trial
Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…
Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank
Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 2 clicks
The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck
Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.
SFIX · long Stitch Fix INC
Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?
BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…
Greenland Energy Company: A Speculative Play On The Monetization Of Greenland
Greenland Energy Company holds 2.1 million acres in the Jameson Land Basin, but drilling permits, political risk and warrant dilution cloud…
Ron Ferrie 1 click
Hindsight Capital
Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…
Neighborhood Intelligence Is Starting To Look Like A Mess
Neighborhood Intelligence, NXH, faces a cash shortfall after failed and restructured acquisitions, as losses and limited financing options…
Vince Martin 1 click
New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA
Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…
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Convequity
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Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
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Mike
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SG
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ToffCap
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