Monday, September 28, 2026

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Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

YOU · short

Clear Secure INC

Clear Secure's Clear Plus subscription business is nearing maturity despite recent bookings strength, supporting a short thesis on YOU.

PayPal, Declined

Stripe and Advent’s reported $53 billion bid for PayPal follows a decade in which Stripe’s payment volume outgrew PayPal’s Braintree.

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

On Holdings expects roughly CHF 3.5 billion in FY26 revenue as running shoes drive growth, while APAC exceeds 20% of sales and apparel…

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