Thursday, September 24, 2026

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

SA C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)

Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…

TPB $1.1B

SA Caffital Research Sep 23 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $670M

SA Ryan Canady Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

BKV · long

Bkv CORP

BKV Corp, public for less than two years, is an underfollowed natural-gas producer pursuing early-stage projects and a transition.

Sleep Well Portfolio (Aug 2026) - Recovery continues, Cyber Security roared back.

Sleep Well Portfolio’s August gains were led by Veeva, CrowdStrike and cybersecurity, while Cellebrite and WiseTech reported early AI…

Expand Energy: Short-Term Protection From Hedges, Long-Term Upside

Expand Energy’s hedge book and Twin Eagle acquisition support free cash flow through weak gas prices, while LNG export growth could lift…

EXE $20B

SA Elliott Gue Sep 3 4 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Abercrombie, PagSeguro, Vodafone

Special-situations survey profiles 31 activist, buyback, M&A and strategic-review cases, including Abercrombie, PagSeguro and Vodafone.

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…

INTU $72B

SA Treading Softly Sep 3 5 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $407B

SA Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 3 clicks